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MNI DATA FORECASTS: US Jobs Report Key

(MNI) LONDON

Forecasts for the coming week's main data releases.

True

Date	GMT/Local	Impact	Period	Flag	Country	Release	Prior	Consensus
06/03/2023	0730/0830	***	Feb		CH	CPI m/m	0.6	0.4	%
06/03/2023	0730/0830	***	Feb		CH	CPI y/y	3.3	3.0	%
06/03/2023	0830/0930	**	Feb		EU	IHS Markit Construction PMI	--	--
06/03/2023	0930/0930	**	Feb		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI	--	--
06/03/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Retail Sales m/m	-2.7	0.8	%
06/03/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Retail Sales y/y wda	-2.8	-1.8	%
06/03/2023	1500/1000	*	Feb		CA	Ivey PMI (SA)	60.1	--
06/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Factory New Orders	1.8	-1.5	%
06/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Factory Orders ex-transport	-1.2	--	%
06/03/2023	1630/1130	*	10-Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
06/03/2023	1630/1130	*	10-Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	0001/0001	*	Feb		UK	BRC Like-for-Like Sales y/y	3.9	--	%
07/03/2023	0001/0001	*	Feb		UK	BRC Total Sales y/y	4.2	--	%
07/03/2023	0030/1130	**	Mar		AU	Trade Balance	12237.0	12250	AUD (m)
07/03/2023	0330/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate	3.35	3.60	%
07/03/2023	0330/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate Change	0.25	0.25	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment Rate	1.9	1.9	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment m/m	4.0	--	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment y/y	-17.6	--	%
07/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Manufacturing Orders m/m	3.2	-0.9	%
07/03/2023	0800/0900	**	Jan		ES	Industrial Production y/y	0.6	0.8	%
07/03/2023	1000/1000	**	10-Mar		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	exports y/y	-9.9	--	%
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	imports y/y	-7.5	--	%
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	trade balance	78.01	--	USD (b)
07/03/2023	1355/0855	**	04-Mar		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month)	--	--	%
07/03/2023	1355/0855	**	04-Mar		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week)	--	--	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Wholesale Inventories m/m	-0.4	-0.4	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Wholesale Sales m/m	0.0	--	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Mar		US	IBD/TIPP Optimism Index	45.1	--
07/03/2023	1800/1300	***	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	2000/1500	*	Jan		US	consumer credit	11.6	25.0	USD (b)
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Industrial Production m/m	-3.1	1.4	%
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Retail Sales m/m	-5.3	2.4	%
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Retail Sales y/y	-6.4	-5.0	%
08/03/2023	0900/1000	*	Jan		IT	Retail Sales m/m	-0.2	--	%
08/03/2023	0900/1000	*	Jan		IT	Retail Sales y/y nsa	3.4	--	%
08/03/2023	1000/1000	**	10-Mar		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
08/03/2023	1000/1100	***	Q4		EU	GDP final q/q	0.1	0.0	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	***	Q4		EU	GDP final y/y	1.9	1.9	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	*	Q4		EU	Employment q/q	0.4	--	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	*	Q4		EU	Employment y/y	1.5	--	%
08/03/2023	1200/0700	**	03-Mar		US	MBA Mortgage Applications w/w	-5.7	--	%
08/03/2023	1315/0815	***	Feb		US	ADP Private Payrolls	106	195	(k)
08/03/2023	1330/0830	**	Jan		US	Previous Trade Deficit Revised	-61.0	--	USD (b)
08/03/2023	1330/0830	**	Jan		US	Trade Balance	-67.4	-69.0	USD (b)
08/03/2023	1500/1000	***			CA	BOC Policy Decision	4.5	4.5	%
08/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	JOLTS job openings level	11012.0	10500	(k)
08/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	JOLTS quits rate	2.7	--	%
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Distillate Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Gasoline Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn yield per acre current year	--	--
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Cotton Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Cotton Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans - Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans yield per acre current year	--	--
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Wheat - Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Wheat Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1800/1300	**	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
09/03/2023	0130/0930	***	Feb		CN	CPI y/y	2.1	1.9	%
09/03/2023	0130/0930	***	Feb		CN	PPI y/y	-0.8	-1.3	%
09/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Feb		SE	Private Sector Production	-0.4	--	%
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Continuing Claims	1655	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Initial Jobless Claims	190	195	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Prev Continuing Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Corn Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Corn Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Soy Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Soy Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Wheat Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Wheat Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Natural Gas Stocks w/w	--	--	Bcf
09/03/2023	1800/1300	***	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--

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Date	GMT/Local	Impact	Period	Flag	Country	Release	Prior	Consensus
06/03/2023	0730/0830	***	Feb		CH	CPI m/m	0.6	0.4	%
06/03/2023	0730/0830	***	Feb		CH	CPI y/y	3.3	3.0	%
06/03/2023	0830/0930	**	Feb		EU	IHS Markit Construction PMI	--	--
06/03/2023	0930/0930	**	Feb		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI	--	--
06/03/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Retail Sales m/m	-2.7	0.8	%
06/03/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Retail Sales y/y wda	-2.8	-1.8	%
06/03/2023	1500/1000	*	Feb		CA	Ivey PMI (SA)	60.1	--
06/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Factory New Orders	1.8	-1.5	%
06/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Factory Orders ex-transport	-1.2	--	%
06/03/2023	1630/1130	*	10-Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
06/03/2023	1630/1130	*	10-Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	0001/0001	*	Feb		UK	BRC Like-for-Like Sales y/y	3.9	--	%
07/03/2023	0001/0001	*	Feb		UK	BRC Total Sales y/y	4.2	--	%
07/03/2023	0030/1130	**	Mar		AU	Trade Balance	12237.0	12250	AUD (m)
07/03/2023	0330/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate	3.35	3.60	%
07/03/2023	0330/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate Change	0.25	0.25	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment Rate	1.9	1.9	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment m/m	4.0	--	%
07/03/2023	0645/0745	**	Feb		CH	Unemployment y/y	-17.6	--	%
07/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Manufacturing Orders m/m	3.2	-0.9	%
07/03/2023	0800/0900	**	Jan		ES	Industrial Production y/y	0.6	0.8	%
07/03/2023	1000/1000	**	10-Mar		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	exports y/y	-9.9	--	%
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	imports y/y	-7.5	--	%
07/03/2023	-	***	Feb		CN	trade balance	78.01	--	USD (b)
07/03/2023	1355/0855	**	04-Mar		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month)	--	--	%
07/03/2023	1355/0855	**	04-Mar		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week)	--	--	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Wholesale Inventories m/m	-0.4	-0.4	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	Wholesale Sales m/m	0.0	--	%
07/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Mar		US	IBD/TIPP Optimism Index	45.1	--
07/03/2023	1800/1300	***	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
07/03/2023	2000/1500	*	Jan		US	consumer credit	11.6	25.0	USD (b)
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Industrial Production m/m	-3.1	1.4	%
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Retail Sales m/m	-5.3	2.4	%
08/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Jan		DE	Retail Sales y/y	-6.4	-5.0	%
08/03/2023	0900/1000	*	Jan		IT	Retail Sales m/m	-0.2	--	%
08/03/2023	0900/1000	*	Jan		IT	Retail Sales y/y nsa	3.4	--	%
08/03/2023	1000/1000	**	10-Mar		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
08/03/2023	1000/1100	***	Q4		EU	GDP final q/q	0.1	0.0	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	***	Q4		EU	GDP final y/y	1.9	1.9	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	*	Q4		EU	Employment q/q	0.4	--	%
08/03/2023	1000/1100	*	Q4		EU	Employment y/y	1.5	--	%
08/03/2023	1200/0700	**	03-Mar		US	MBA Mortgage Applications w/w	-5.7	--	%
08/03/2023	1315/0815	***	Feb		US	ADP Private Payrolls	106	195	(k)
08/03/2023	1330/0830	**	Jan		US	Previous Trade Deficit Revised	-61.0	--	USD (b)
08/03/2023	1330/0830	**	Jan		US	Trade Balance	-67.4	-69.0	USD (b)
08/03/2023	1500/1000	***			CA	BOC Policy Decision	4.5	4.5	%
08/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	JOLTS job openings level	11012.0	10500	(k)
08/03/2023	1500/1000	**	Jan		US	JOLTS quits rate	2.7	--	%
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Distillate Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Gasoline Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Corn yield per acre current year	--	--
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Cotton Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Cotton Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans - Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Soybeans yield per acre current year	--	--
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Wheat - Ending Stocks current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1700/1200	***	15/16		US	Wheat Production current year	--	--	(m)
08/03/2023	1800/1300	**	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
09/03/2023	0130/0930	***	Feb		CN	CPI y/y	2.1	1.9	%
09/03/2023	0130/0930	***	Feb		CN	PPI y/y	-0.8	-1.3	%
09/03/2023	0700/0800	**	Feb		SE	Private Sector Production	-0.4	--	%
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Continuing Claims	1655	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Initial Jobless Claims	190	195	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Prev Continuing Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	04-Mar		US	Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Corn Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Corn Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Soy Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Soy Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Wheat Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1330/0830	**	02-Mar		US	Wheat Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
09/03/2023	1530/1030	**	03-Mar		US	Natural Gas Stocks w/w	--	--	Bcf
09/03/2023	1800/1300	***	Mar		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--

MNI: POWELL-NON-HOUSING SERVICES INFLATION SHOWS PERSISTENCE

MNI: FED'S POWELL-TIGHTER CREDIT MEANS RATES MAY NOT NEED TO RISE AS MUCH

Rpt-MNI INTERVIEW: Higher ECB Peak Means Faster To Cut-Simkus

MNI DATA FORECASTS: Flash PMIs In Market's Eyesight

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: EU Bonds & UK APF Sales on Monday

MNI: CANADIAN MAR RETAIL SALES -1.4%; SALES EX-AUTOS/PARTS -0.3%

MNI: Canada Resilient To US Debt Ceiling Clash- Freeland

MNI BRIEF: BOC Defends 2% Target, Senate Asks About Raising It

MNI INTERVIEW: Canada Budget Keeps BOC On Pause: Ex Official

Real-time Actionable Insight

MNI: Central Banks Must Cancel Out Fiscal Stimulus- Carstens

MNI BRIEF: Longer, Weaker Policy Lags Possible- ECB's Schnabel

MNI: Powell-Fed Restrictive, Meeting-By-Meeting Decisions

MNI BRIEF: Bank Solvency Main FinStab Threat As ECB Tightens

MNI DATA FORECASTS: Flash PMIs In Market's Eyesight

MNI DATA FORECASTS: US Jobs Report Key

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