Free Trial

MNI DATA IMPACT: China Nov CPI Negative First In 11-Years

MNI (Sydney)

China's inflation fell 0.5% y/y in November, reversing October's 0.5% gain, hitting the lowest level since October 2009 mainly due to declining food prices and the higher comparison base for the same period last year. Analysts had expected 0.0% y/y.

But the core CPI growth, excluding food and energy prices remained stable at 0.5% y/y for five months in a row.

Factory-gate prices narrowed the fall over the previous month due to the rally in international crude oil prices.

Here are the key takeaways from data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday:

  • Food prices declined 2.0% y/y, reversing October's 2.2% gain, accounting for 0.44 percentage points of the CPI fall.
  • Pork prices, the main inflation driver in the past year, fell further by 12.5%, extending the previous decline by 9.7 percentage points due to the continuous recovery in hog production.
  • Vegetable prices grew 8.6% y/y, decelerating from the 16.7% growth in October as supply recovered.
  • On a monthly basis, the CPI fell 0.6%, further expanding the 0.3% fall in October.
  • The PPI was -1.5% y/y, narrowing from the 2.1% fall in October. The figure outshone the -1.8% forecast.
  • The PPI grew 0.5% m/m, 0.5 percentage point quicker than in the previous month, with prices in petroleum-related industries increasing due to rising crude oil prices.
MNI Sydney Bureau | +61-405-322-399 | lachlan.colquhoun.ext@marketnews.com
True
MNI Sydney Bureau | +61-405-322-399 | lachlan.colquhoun.ext@marketnews.com
True

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.