Free Trial

MNI DATA IMPACT: Japan Dec Sentiment Down; L/T Infl Outlook Dn

MNI (London)
--BOJ Dec Consumer Sentiment Diffusion Index Down 5.8 To -25.0
     TOKYO (MNI) - The Bank of Japan's quarterly consumer survey saw sentiment
fall from three months ago, as judged by income, business conditions and
footfall at retailers and restaurants, data released Thursday showed.
     These are the key points from the survey:
     --The BOJ's consumer current climate sentiment diffusion index fell 3.8
points to -29.8 in December, the sixth consecutive quarterly drop after falling
1.0 points to -26.0 in September. More people said sentiment had worsened,
judging from overall conditions.
     --The consumer sentiment outlook index projecting conditions a year ahead
marked the first rise in three quarters, up 9.1 points to -32.6 in December
after falling 5.6 points to -41.7 in September. September's -41.7 was the lowest
level since December 2008 when it hit -41.9.
     --The BOJ survey also showed that the percentage of respondents expecting
prices to rise in the next year stood at 73.3% in December, down from 79.8% in
September. Just 2.3% of those responding said prices would fall in the next
year, down from 2.7% three months earlier. Those saying prices would be little
changed 12 months ahead rose to 23.0% from 17.2%. The median CPI forecast stood
at +2.5%, down from +3.0% in September.
     --Looking five years ahead, 82.8% said prices would rise, down from 85.9%
three months earlier. Meanwhile, 3.4% of respondents expect prices to fall,
compared with 3.2% in September. Those saying prices would be little changed
rose to 11.2% from 9.8%. The median forecast stayed at +2.0%.
     --The survey also showed that about 32.9% cut their spending after the tax
hike, down from 59.8% at the 2014 March survey, just before the previous tax
hike.
     --The survey also showed that about 74% people said that they will continue
to cut spending even after spring 2020.
     --The survey was conducted between November 7 and December 3 and of the
4,000 people polled, 2,107, or 52.7%, responded.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.