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MNI DATA IMPACT: Retail Powers UK GDP Rebound in January>

By Les Commons and Laurie Laird
LONDON (MNI) - The following are the key points from UK GDP data 
published Tuesday by the Office for National Statistics. 
     - Retail and wholesale trade accounted for the lion's share of an 
economic rebound in January, adding 0.15 percentage points to monthly 
GDP growth of 0.5%, countering the sharp 0.4% fall in December. 
     - While services accounted for 0.2 percentage points of monthly 
growth and 0.38 percentage points of three-month rolling growth of 
0.2%, the financial sector has continued to contract. Financial and 
insurance services slipped by another 0.2% between December and January, 
the 11th straight month without an increase. 
     -  Auto production slumped by 2.3% in January, and could decline 
further ovr coming months following recent announcements of assembly 
line closures. Motor vehicle output has now dropped by 7.2% from its 
recent peak in the first quarter of 2017. 
     - The fourth quarter trade deficit was revised lower to Stg9.538 
billion, but an ever larger revision to the third quarter shortfall 
suggests that net trade could shave 0.3 percentage points from fourth 
quarter growth, outpacing the 0.12 percentage point drag contained in 
the first estimate of Q4 GDP. 
     - Construction rebounded smartly in January, jumping by 2.8% over 
December, adding 0.17 percentage points to total growth. However, 
construction output slipped by 0.6% on a rolling three-month basis, and 
could tumble further after poor weather in February.

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