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MNI DATA SURVEY: China August Economic Data Forecast

MNI (London)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                    CPI      PPI       M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                  August   August   August                August          August
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median               2.6     -0.9      8.1                1100.0          1550.0
High                 3.0     -0.1      8.4                1600.0          1800.0
Low                  2.4     -1.2      8.0                1000.0          1500.0
Mean                 2.6     -0.8      8.1                1178.2          1605.0
No.                   18       17       17                    17              14
Previous             2.8     -0.3      8.1                1060.0          1010.0
BFRC                 2.7      N/A      N/A                   N/A             N/A
CEBM                 2.4     -1.1      8.2                1100.0          1550.0
CIB Research         2.5     -0.9      8.3                1280.0          1550.0
CITIC Sec            2.5     -0.8      8.0                1000.0             N/A
Everbright Sec       2.8     -0.6      8.0                1100.0          1500.0
Founder Sec          2.5     -0.8      8.0                1100.0          1550.0
Guotai Junan
Sec                  2.6     -1.0      8.1                1200.0          1550.0
Huachuang Sec        2.4     -1.1      8.0                1100.0          1650.0
Huatai Sec           2.6     -0.9      8.1                1000.0          1800.0
Industrial Sec       2.6     -0.7      8.2                1200.0          1650.0
ING                  2.7     -0.1      8.1                1600.0          1500.0
Merchant Sec         2.5     -0.6      8.1                1250.0          1750.0
Minsheng Sec         2.6     -0.8      8.1                1100.0          1570.0
Peking U Rsrch       2.7     -1.1      8.1                1250.0             N/A
Shanghai Sec         2.9     -1.2      8.0                1400.0             N/A
Shenwan
Hongyuan             2.6     -0.9      8.4                1100.0          1800.0
Sinolink Sec         2.7     -0.8      8.1                1250.0          1500.0
Southwest Sec        3.0     -0.9      8.0                1000.0          1550.0
                                       Trade
              Exports    Imports     Balance    Output     Investment     Retail
               August     August      ($Bln)    August     Jan-August     August
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            2.6       -5.6        45.2       5.3            5.6        8.1
High              6.0       -1.0        50.2       6.0            5.9        8.8
Low              -2.0       -8.8        30.0       4.7            5.5        7.2
Mean              2.6       -5.5        43.8       5.3            5.6        8.0
No.                17         17          10        16             15         16
Previous          3.3       -5.3        44.6       4.8            5.7        7.6
CEBM              2.0       -4.5         N/A       5.3            5.6        8.3
CIB
Research         -2.0       -5.0         N/A       5.2            5.7        8.2
CITIC Sec         6.0       -7.0         N/A       5.3            5.7        7.3
Everbright
Sec               1.2       -6.1         N/A       5.2            N/A        7.8
Founder Sec       2.1       -4.9         N/A       5.2            5.6        7.6
Guotai
Junan Sec         3.1       -6.3        45.0       5.2            N/A        8.1
Huachuang
Sec               2.6       -5.3         N/A       5.5            5.6        7.8
Huatai Sec        1.0       -1.0        30.0       5.2            5.6        8.3
Industrial
Sec               2.0       -6.0        42.1       5.5            5.6        8.0
ING               4.0       -6.1        45.6       N/A            N/A        N/A
Merchant
Sec               2.8       -5.6        43.0       6.0            5.6        8.0
Minsheng
Sec               1.5       -8.8        46.4       5.0            5.5        8.1
Peking U
Rsrch             4.5       -5.5        50.0       5.0            5.8        7.2
Shanghai
Sec               3.7       -3.0        40.0       5.8            5.8        8.5
Shenwan
Hongyuan          4.5       -4.9        45.4       6.0            5.9        8.8
Sinolink
Sec               1.0       -6.0         N/A       4.7            5.6        7.3
Southwest
Sec               4.0       -8.0        50.2       5.4            5.5        8.2
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     August trade data is due for release on September 8.
     August CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT September 10.
     August Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released on September 16.
     August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 10 and September 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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