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September 06, 2019 06:03 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China August Economic Data Forecast
MNI (London)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
August August August August August
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.6 -0.9 8.1 1100.0 1550.0
High 3.0 -0.1 8.4 1600.0 1800.0
Low 2.4 -1.2 8.0 1000.0 1500.0
Mean 2.6 -0.8 8.1 1178.2 1605.0
No. 18 17 17 17 14
Previous 2.8 -0.3 8.1 1060.0 1010.0
BFRC 2.7 N/A N/A N/A N/A
CEBM 2.4 -1.1 8.2 1100.0 1550.0
CIB Research 2.5 -0.9 8.3 1280.0 1550.0
CITIC Sec 2.5 -0.8 8.0 1000.0 N/A
Everbright Sec 2.8 -0.6 8.0 1100.0 1500.0
Founder Sec 2.5 -0.8 8.0 1100.0 1550.0
Guotai Junan
Sec 2.6 -1.0 8.1 1200.0 1550.0
Huachuang Sec 2.4 -1.1 8.0 1100.0 1650.0
Huatai Sec 2.6 -0.9 8.1 1000.0 1800.0
Industrial Sec 2.6 -0.7 8.2 1200.0 1650.0
ING 2.7 -0.1 8.1 1600.0 1500.0
Merchant Sec 2.5 -0.6 8.1 1250.0 1750.0
Minsheng Sec 2.6 -0.8 8.1 1100.0 1570.0
Peking U Rsrch 2.7 -1.1 8.1 1250.0 N/A
Shanghai Sec 2.9 -1.2 8.0 1400.0 N/A
Shenwan
Hongyuan 2.6 -0.9 8.4 1100.0 1800.0
Sinolink Sec 2.7 -0.8 8.1 1250.0 1500.0
Southwest Sec 3.0 -0.9 8.0 1000.0 1550.0
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
August August ($Bln) August Jan-August August
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.6 -5.6 45.2 5.3 5.6 8.1
High 6.0 -1.0 50.2 6.0 5.9 8.8
Low -2.0 -8.8 30.0 4.7 5.5 7.2
Mean 2.6 -5.5 43.8 5.3 5.6 8.0
No. 17 17 10 16 15 16
Previous 3.3 -5.3 44.6 4.8 5.7 7.6
CEBM 2.0 -4.5 N/A 5.3 5.6 8.3
CIB
Research -2.0 -5.0 N/A 5.2 5.7 8.2
CITIC Sec 6.0 -7.0 N/A 5.3 5.7 7.3
Everbright
Sec 1.2 -6.1 N/A 5.2 N/A 7.8
Founder Sec 2.1 -4.9 N/A 5.2 5.6 7.6
Guotai
Junan Sec 3.1 -6.3 45.0 5.2 N/A 8.1
Huachuang
Sec 2.6 -5.3 N/A 5.5 5.6 7.8
Huatai Sec 1.0 -1.0 30.0 5.2 5.6 8.3
Industrial
Sec 2.0 -6.0 42.1 5.5 5.6 8.0
ING 4.0 -6.1 45.6 N/A N/A N/A
Merchant
Sec 2.8 -5.6 43.0 6.0 5.6 8.0
Minsheng
Sec 1.5 -8.8 46.4 5.0 5.5 8.1
Peking U
Rsrch 4.5 -5.5 50.0 5.0 5.8 7.2
Shanghai
Sec 3.7 -3.0 40.0 5.8 5.8 8.5
Shenwan
Hongyuan 4.5 -4.9 45.4 6.0 5.9 8.8
Sinolink
Sec 1.0 -6.0 N/A 4.7 5.6 7.3
Southwest
Sec 4.0 -8.0 50.2 5.4 5.5 8.2
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
August trade data is due for release on September 8.
August CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT September 10.
August Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released on September 16.
August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 10 and September 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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