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Free AccessMNI DATA SURVEY: China Economic Forecasts (February Data)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.4 0.2 8.4 1000.0 1300.0
High 1.7 0.5 8.7 2200.0 3200.0
Low 0.7 -0.3 8.3 800.0 920.0
Mean 1.4 0.2 8.4 1072.6 1470.0
No. 22 21 18 19 14
Previous 1.7 0.1 8.4 3230.0 4640.0
CEBM 1.3 0.4 8.5 1300.0 1800.0
CIB Research 1.4 0.1 8.4 950.0 1000.0
CICC 1.3 0.1 8.3 800.0 1300.0
Galaxy Sec 1.1 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Goldman Sachs 1.3 -0.3 8.5 1100.0 1300.0
Guotai Junan 1.4 0.1 8.4 1000.0 1300.0
HSBC 1.5 0.3 N/A N/A N/A
Huachuang Sec 1.6 0.2 8.7 1300.0 N/A
Huatai Sec 1.6 0.0 8.5 1000.0 1300.0
Industrial Sec 1.5 0.2 8.3 1100.0 1800.0
ING 1.5 0.5 8.4 2200.0 3200.0
Merchant Sec 1.2 0.2 8.3 850.0 1050.0
Minsheng Bank 1.4 0.2 8.4 1000.0 1500.0
Moody's 1.7 0.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Times Sec 1.6 0.2 8.5 900.0 1650.0
Northeast
Sec 1.0 0.0 8.3 1080.0 1210.0
Peking U Rsrch 1.5 0.0 8.5 1100.0 N/A
Sealand Sect 1.2 0.5 N/A 800.0 N/A
Shanghai Sec 0.7 0.3 8.4 1000.0 N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.4 0.5 8.5 1100.0 1250.0
Sinolink Sec 1.6 0.3 8.5 900.0 920.0
Southwest Sec 1.5 0.3 8.3 900.0 N/A
Output Feb Investment Jan-Feb Retail Feb
------------------------------------------------------------
Median 5.5 5.9 8.2
High 6.3 6.5 8.6
Low 5.2 5.1 7.2
Mean 5.6 5.9 8.1
No. 19 19 19
Previous 5.7 5.9 8.2
CEBM 5.6 5.8 8.1
CIB Research 5.3 5.9 8.0
CICC 5.8 6.2 8.2
Goldman Sachs 5.3 6.3 8.2
Guotai Junan 5.5 5.9 8.2
HSBC N/A N/A N/A
Huachuang Sec 5.5 5.3 8.0
Huatai Sec 5.6 5.5 8.2
Industrial Sec 5.4 6.5 8.0
ING 6.2 5.6 8.3
Merchant Sec 6.0 6.2 8.5
Minsheng Bank 5.5 6.0 7.9
New Times Sec 5.5 6.0 7.2
Northeast Sec 5.4 5.5 7.9
Peking U Rsrch 5.8 6.2 7.7
Sealand Sec 5.2 5.6 8.2
Shanghai Sec 6.3 6.1 8.5
Shenwan Hongyuan 5.7 5.8 8.6
Sinolink Sec 5.6 6.3 8.1
Southwest Sec 5.5 5.1 8.2
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
February trade data is due for release on March 8.
February CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT March 9.
February money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between March 10 and March 15. Date and time uncertain at publication
time.
February Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on March 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.