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MNI DATA SURVEY: China Economic Forecasts (February Data)

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                  M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                  Feb                   Feb             Feb
-----------------------------------------------------------
Median            8.4                1000.0          1300.0
High              8.7                2200.0          3200.0
Low               8.3                 800.0           920.0
Mean              8.4                1072.6          1470.0
No.                18                    19              14
Previous          8.4                3230.0          4640.0
CEBM              8.5                1300.0          1800.0
CIB Research      8.4                 950.0          1000.0
CICC              8.3                 800.0          1300.0
Galaxy Sec        N/A                   N/A             N/A
Goldman Sachs     8.5                1100.0          1300.0
Guotai Junan      8.4                1000.0          1300.0
HSBC              N/A                   N/A             N/A
Huachuang Sec     8.7                1300.0             N/A
Huatai Sec        8.5                1000.0          1300.0
Industrial Sec    8.3                1100.0          1800.0
ING               8.4                2200.0          3200.0
Merchant Sec      8.3                 850.0          1050.0
Minsheng Bank     8.4                1000.0          1500.0
Moody's           N/A                   N/A             N/A
New Times Sec     8.5                 900.0          1650.0
Northeast
Sec               8.3                1080.0          1210.0
Peking U Rsrch    8.5                1100.0             N/A
Sealand Sect      N/A                 800.0             N/A
Shanghai Sec      8.4                1000.0             N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan  8.5                1100.0          1250.0
Sinolink Sec      8.5                 900.0           920.0
Southwest Sec     8.3                 900.0             N/A
                  Output Feb  Investment Jan-Feb  Retail Feb
------------------------------------------------------------
Median                   5.5                 5.9         8.2
High                     6.3                 6.5         8.6
Low                      5.2                 5.1         7.2
Mean                     5.6                 5.9         8.1
No.                       19                  19          19
Previous                 5.7                 5.9         8.2
CEBM                     5.6                 5.8         8.1
CIB Research             5.3                 5.9         8.0
CICC                     5.8                 6.2         8.2
Goldman Sachs            5.3                 6.3         8.2
Guotai Junan             5.5                 5.9         8.2
HSBC                     N/A                 N/A         N/A
Huachuang Sec            5.5                 5.3         8.0
Huatai Sec               5.6                 5.5         8.2
Industrial Sec           5.4                 6.5         8.0
ING                      6.2                 5.6         8.3
Merchant Sec             6.0                 6.2         8.5
Minsheng Bank            5.5                 6.0         7.9
New Times Sec            5.5                 6.0         7.2
Northeast Sec            5.4                 5.5         7.9
Peking U Rsrch           5.8                 6.2         7.7
Sealand Sec              5.2                 5.6         8.2
Shanghai Sec             6.3                 6.1         8.5
Shenwan Hongyuan         5.7                 5.8         8.6
Sinolink Sec             5.6                 6.3         8.1
Southwest Sec            5.5                 5.1         8.2
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     February trade data is due for release on March 8.
     February CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT March 9.
     February money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between March 10 and March 15. Date and time uncertain at publication
time.
     February Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on March 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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