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MNI DATA SURVEY: China January Key Economic Data Forecast

     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                  CPI   PPI   M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                   Jan   Jan  Jan                   Jan             Jan
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median             1.8   0.3  8.2                3000.0          3300.0
High               2.0   1.1  8.8                3700.0          4500.0
Low                1.7  -2.0  8.0                2030.0          2989.0
Mean               1.8   0.1  8.3                2950.3          3489.8
Num of forecasts    19    18   16                    17              12
Previous           1.9   0.9  8.1                1080.0          1590.0
China Sec          1.8  -0.2  8.2                2930.0          3270.0
CIB Research       1.7  -0.2  8.1                3350.0          3930.0
CICC               1.8   0.1  8.4                3200.0          3700.0
Everbright Sec     1.7  -0.2  N/A                2900.0          3300.0
Galaxy Sec         1.9   N/A  N/A                   N/A             N/A
Goldman Sachs      1.8  -0.1  8.5                3500.0          4500.0
Haitong Sec        2.0   0.2  8.1                2500.0             N/A
HSBC               2.0   0.5  8.2                2600.0          3058.0
Huatai Sec         1.9   0.0  8.1                3000.0          3300.0
Industrial Sec     1.7   0.4  8.8                3000.0          3600.0
ING                2.0  -2.0  8.1                2030.0          2989.0
Merchant Sec       1.8   0.6  8.0                3000.0          3150.0
Mizuho             1.8  -0.1  8.2                2750.0          3000.0
Moody's            1.8   1.1  8.2                   N/A             N/A
Peking U Rsrch     1.8   0.2  8.2                2980.0             N/A
Sealand Sec        1.8   0.6  N/A                3200.0             N/A
Shanghai Sec       1.8   0.5  8.2                2600.0             N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan   1.7   0.3  8.4                2800.0          3250.0
Sinolink Sec       1.7   0.3  8.3                3700.0          4100.0
Southwest Sec      1.9   0.3  8.2                3045.6             N/A
                  Exports Jan  Imports Jan  Trade Balance ($Bln)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Median                   -2.0        -10.5                  32.5
High                     10.0          1.4                  60.0
Low                     -13.0        -20.0                  15.0
Mean                     -2.3        -10.9                  34.8
No.                        16           16                    14
Previous                 -4.4         -7.6                  57.1
China Sec                 3.0        -13.0                   N/A
CIB Research            -13.0        -17.0                  23.3
CICC                     -3.0        -17.0                  43.2
Everbright Sec           -8.0        -11.0                   N/A
Goldman Sachs            10.0         -5.0                 50.65
Haitong Sec              -7.7        -19.7                  40.6
HSBC                     -3.3        -10.0                  30.0
Huatai Sec               -0.6         -3.5                  23.5
Industrial Sec            0.0          1.0                  15.0
ING                      -4.1         -6.5                  22.0
Merchant Sec              2.8        -14.4                  50.0
Mizuho                  -10.0        -20.0                  35.0
Peking U Rsrch            2.1          1.4                  20.0
Shanghai Sec             -4.8        -20.0                  45.0
Shenwan Hongyuan          3.0        -20.0                  60.0
Sinolink Sec              1.0         -5.0                   N/A
Southwest Sec            -1.0         -7.6                 28.54
     Note: The survey median is derived solely from the forecasts listed above.
It does not represent the market's consensus.
     January's trade data are due for release on Feb 14.
     January CPI, PPI will be released at 0930 local/0130 GMT Feb 15.
     January money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Jan 10-15. Date and time are unannounced at the time of this
publication.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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