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MNI DATA SURVEY: China June Economic Data Forecast

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
                   GDP Q2  M2 Jun  New Loans (CNY Bln) Jun  TSF (CNY Bln) Jun
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                6.7     8.3                     1600               1500
High                  6.8     8.5                     2000               1700
Low                   6.7     7.5                     1100               1400
Mean                  6.7     8.3                     1578               1550
No.                    13      18                       17                  9
Previous              6.8     8.3                     1150                760
BankComm              6.7     8.5                     1600                 na
Central China Sec      na     8.3                     1160                 na
China Sec             6.7     8.3                     1600                 na
CIB Research          6.7     8.3                     1700               1450
CICC                  6.8     8.0                     1700               1400
Everbright Sec        6.7     8.4                     2000                 na
Guotai Junan          6.8     8.4                     1550               1700
Haitong Sec           6.7     7.5                     1100                 na
Huachuang Sec          na     8.2                     1700                 na
Huatai Sec            6.7     8.3                     1600               1500
ING                    na     8.3                     1617                 na
Merchant Sec          6.8     8.2                     1600               1600
Moody's                na     8.4                       na                 na
Ping An Sec           6.7     8.2                       na                 na
Sealand Sec           6.8      na                     1800               1700
Shanghai Sec           na     8.4                     1500                 na
Shenwan Hongyuan       na     8.4                     1600               1500
Sino Link Sec         6.7     8.5                     1500               1600
Southwest Sec         6.8     8.1                     1500               1500
                                        Trade
               Exports   Imports      Balance   Output      Investment    Retail
                   Jun       Jun       ($Bln)      Jun         Jan-Jun       Jun
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            10.0      21.5         26.0      6.5             6.0       9.0
High              20.0      26.6         46.6      7.1             6.5      10.0
Low               -1.2      10.9         23.0      6.0             5.8       8.0
Mean              10.4      20.4         28.1      6.5             6.0       9.0
No.                 18        18           15       17              16        17
Previous          12.6      26.0         24.9      6.8             6.1       8.5
BankComm          12.0      25.0         26.0      6.8             6.5       9.0
Central
China Sec         20.0      11.0         30.0      7.1             6.0       9.0
China Sec         12.0      18.0           na      6.4             5.9       8.0
CIB Research       8.0      22.0         23.1      6.4             5.8       9.6
CICC              10.0      22.0         27.0      6.0             6.0       8.7
Everbright
Sec               11.0      15.0         39.7      6.3              na       9.4
Guotai Junan      10.0      24.0           na      6.3             6.1       8.8
Haitong Sec       12.6      26.6         24.9      6.1             5.9       8.9
Huachuang
Sec                7.1      19.0         26.0      6.5             5.9       9.3
Huatai Sec        -1.2      10.9         25.0      6.5             6.5       9.0
ING               14.4      22.4         23.0       na              na        na
Merchant Sec       9.8      23.1         25.0      6.5             5.9       9.0
Moody's             na        na         26.0       na              na        na
Ping An Sec       10.0      24.0         23.9      6.1             6.3       9.5
Sealand Sec       11.5      18.1           na      6.6             6.0       9.0
Shanghai Sec      10.9      24.4         25.0      7.0             6.2      10.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan          10.0      20.0         30.1      6.5             6.0       8.8
Sino Link
Sec               10.0      21.0           na      6.5             5.8       8.7
Southwest
Sec                9.0      20.0         46.6      6.2             5.9       8.5
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     June CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT July 10.
     June money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between July 10 and July 15. Date and time uncertain.
     June trade data is due for release on July 13.
     Q2 GDP, June Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on July 16.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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