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MNI DATA SURVEY: China June Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
GDP CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
Q2 June June June June June
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.3 2.7 0.2 8.6 1650.0 2000.0
High 6.4 2.9 0.5 8.8 1900.0 2400.0
Low 6.2 2.5 -0.5 8.3 1400.0 1500.0
Mean 6.3 2.7 0.1 8.6 1659.2 2045.3
No. 15 21 21 19 19 17
Previous 6.4 2.7 0.6 8.5 1180.0 1400.0
BFRC 6.3 2.6 0.0 8.6 1850.0 N/A
CEBM 6.3 2.8 0.3 8.6 1600.0 2000.0
CIB Research 6.2 2.7 0.3 8.8 1750.0 2200.0
CICC 6.2 2.7 0.2 8.5 1400.0 1950.0
CITIC Sec N/A 2.8 0.2 8.5 1600.0 N/A
Everbright Sec 6.4 2.7 0.5 N/A 1750.0 2400.0
Founder Sec N/A 2.7 0.1 8.6 1650.0 2050.0
Guotai Junan Sec 6.3 2.8 0.2 8.6 1700.0 2000.0
Haitong Sec 6.3 2.6 -0.2 8.3 1500.0 1970.0
Huachuang Sec 6.3 2.7 0.2 8.7 N/A 2300.0
Huatai Sec 6.3 2.9 0.2 8.5 1900.0 1800.0
Industrial Sec 6.2 2.7 0.0 8.5 1550.0 2000.0
ING 6.2 2.7 -0.5 8.5 1615.0 1900.0
Minsheng Bank 6.3 2.7 0.1 8.7 1650.0 2200.0
Minsheng Sec 6.3 2.7 -0.1 8.5 1500.0 1500.0
Moody's N/A 2.8 0.4 N/A N/A N/A
Peking U Rsrch N/A 2.7 0.3 8.6 1760.0 N/A
TF Sec 6.2 2.6 0.2 8.6 1600.0 2100.0
Shenwan Hongyuan N/A 2.5 0.2 8.7 1800.0 2000.0
Sinolink Sec N/A 2.8 0.2 8.4 1600.0 2300.0
Southwest Sec 6.2 2.7 0.1 8.7 1750.0 2100.0
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
June June ($Bln) June Jan-June June
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median -2.0 -2.0 43.2 5.2 5.5 8.3
High 4.3 3.0 62.7 6.0 5.9 9.1
Low -6.0 -8.0 33.8 4.8 4.5 7.8
Mean -1.9 -2.6 43.2 5.3 5.5 8.3
No. 20 20 15 21 20 21
Previous 1.1 -8.5 41.7 5.0 5.6 8.6
BFRC -2.0 -5.0 45.0 5.7 5.5 8.4
CEBM -5.0 -2.0 N/A 5.3 5.5 8.3
CIB
Research -2.0 -8.0 50.5 5.0 5.8 8.0
CICC -4.0 -2.0 35.8 5.2 4.5 7.9
CITIC Sec -6.0 3.0 N/A 5.4 5.7 8.0
Everbright
Sec -1.7 -1.4 N/A 5.0 N/A 8.3
Founder Sec -1.8 -0.5 37.9 5.3 5.4 8.3
Guotai
Junan Sec -1.6 -0.4 N/A 5.2 5.7 8.2
Haitong
Sect 0.1 -2.9 46.9 5.2 5.5 8.5
Huachuang
Sec -3.8 -6.4 43.9 5.2 5.2 8.3
Huatai Sec 2.5 1.8 39.4 5.5 5.5 8.3
Industrial
Sec -5.5 -2.7 33.8 5.2 5.5 8.2
ING 4.3 -7.5 62.7 5.5 5.7 9.1
Merchant
Sec N/A N/A N/A 5.1 5.5 8.3
Minsheng
Bank -2.1 -3.4 42.3 5.5 5.5 8.8
Minsheng
Sec -3.0 -3.6 40.6 5.2 5.6 8.0
Moody's N/A N/A 43.4 N/A N/A N/A
Peking U
Rsrch -2.0 -1.0 38.0 4.9 5.2 7.8
TF Sec 0.0 -2.0 N/A 5.2 5.4 8.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan 2.0 0.0 45.0 6.0 5.9 9.0
Sinolink
Sec -3.0 -2.0 N/A 4.8 5.4 8.2
Southwest
Sec -3.0 -5.0 43.2 5.4 5.4 8.1
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
June CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT July 10.
June trade data is due for release on July 12.
Q2 GDP, June Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released on July 15.
June money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between July 10 and July 15. Date and time uncertain at publication
time.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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