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MNI DATA SURVEY: China May Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY TSF (CNY Bln)
May May May Bln) May May
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.8 3.9 8.5 1200 1325
High 2.0 4.4 9.0 1400 1450
Low 1.6 3.7 8.2 1100 1050
Mean 1.8 3.9 8.5 1168 1281
No. 19 19 17 17 8
Previous 1.8 3.4 8.3 1180 1560
Bank of
China 1.8 3.8 9.0 1100 na
Bank Comm 1.6 3.9 8.4 1200 na
China Sec 1.7 3.9 8.8 1100 na
CICC 1.9 4.1 8.5 1150 1100
Everbright
Sec 1.9 3.8 8.2 1200 na
Guotai Junan 1.6 4.0 8.5 1200 1450
Haitong Sec 1.6 4.1 8.4 1100 1300
HSBC 1.9 3.9 na na na
Huachang Sec 1.8 3.9 8.5 1200 na
Huatai Sec 1.9 4.0 8.5 1100 na
Industrial
Bank 1.8 3.9 8.5 1200 1350
Merchant Sec 1.9 3.7 8.3 1100 1200
Minsheng
Bank 1.7 4.0 8.6 1100 1400
Peking U
Rsrch 2.0 3.8 8.5 1200 na
Ping An Sec 1.7 3.8 8.2 na na
Sealand Sec 1.8 4.0 na 1200 na
Shanghai Sec 1.6 3.9 8.5 1400 na
Sino Link
Sec 1.7 4.0 8.6 1200 1400
Southwest
Sec 1.8 4.4 8.3 1100 1050
Trade
Exports Imports Balance May Output Investment Retail
May May ($Bln) May Jan-May May
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 10.5 17.3 32.3 6.8 6.9 9.5
High 15.0 22.0 48.4 7.2 7.2 9.9
Low 2.3 9.3 25.1 6.5 6.7 9.2
Mean 10.1 17.2 33.4 6.9 6.9 9.5
No. 19 19 12 18 18 18
Previous 12.9 21.5 28.8 7.0 7.0 9.4
Bank of China 6.2 15.3 na 6.7 7.0 9.3
BankComm 10.0 15.0 29.0 6.8 6.9 9.6
China Sec 7.0 10.0 na 6.8 6.9 9.2
CICC 12.0 16.0 38.6 7.2 7.0 9.5
Everbright Sec 11.0 20.0 na 6.7 6.8 9.3
Guotai Junan 15.0 22.0 35.2 7.1 7.0 9.5
Haitong Sec 9.0 16.1 32.7 6.5 6.8 9.2
HSBC 11.5 15.5 na na na na
Huachang Sec 11.9 9.3 48.4 6.7 6.9 9.3
Huatai Sec 2.3 11.6 na 6.8 7.0 9.8
IndustrialBank 10.0 21.0 27.4 7.2 6.8 9.6
Merchant Sec 13.0 22.0 31.5 6.8 7.0 9.7
Minsheng Bank 11.1 17.3 35.0 7.2 6.9 9.5
Peking U Rsrch 10.5 21.4 36.0 7.1 7.1 9.4
Ping An Sec 10.0 18.0 31.9 6.8 6.8 9.6
Sealand Sec 13.5 16.9 na 6.7 7.2 9.8
Shanghai Sec 11.1 20.7 30.0 7.0 7.2 9.9
Sino Link Sec 9.0 19.0 na 7.1 6.7 9.4
Southwest Sec 8.0 20.0 25.1 7.1 6.9 9.2
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
May trade data is due for release on Jun 8.
May CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT Jun 9.
May money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Jun 10 and Jun 15. Date and time uncertain.
May Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on Jun 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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