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June 06, 2019 07:10 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China May Economic Data Forecast
MNI (London)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
May May May May May
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.7 0.6 8.5 1200.0 1334.6
High 2.9 0.9 8.7 1500.0 1933.0
Low 2.0 -0.5 8.3 900.0 1180.0
Mean 2.7 0.5 8.5 1219.5 1388.5
No. 19 18 19 19 18
Previous 2.5 0.9 8.5 1020.0 1359.0
BFRC 2.7 N/A N/A N/A N/A
CEBM 2.9 0.6 8.4 920.0 1200.0
CIB Research 2.8 0.6 8.6 1420.0 1410.0
CICC 2.7 0.0 8.5 1050.0 1250.0
CITIC Sec 2.8 0.4 8.5 900.0 1180.0
Guotai Junan Sec 2.7 0.7 8.6 1300.0 1500.0
Huatai Sec 2.6 0.6 8.6 1200.0 1300.0
Industrial Sec 2.7 0.6 8.5 1050.0 1250.0
ING 2.0 -0.5 8.5 1450.0 1933.0
Merchant Sec 2.9 0.8 8.5 1350.0 1300.0
Minsheng Bank 2.6 0.3 8.6 1200.0 1550.0
Minsheng Sec 2.7 0.9 8.7 1340.0 1310.0
New Times Sec 2.7 0.5 8.5 1200.0 1400.0
Nomura 2.8 0.7 8.6 1500.0 1500.0
Peking U Rsrch 2.6 0.7 8.3 1170.0 N/A
TF Bank N/A N/A 8.7 1400.0 1600.0
TF Sec 2.7 0.3 8.5 1250.0 1200.0
Shenwan Hongyuan 2.6 0.6 8.6 1250.0 1450.0
Sinolink Sec 2.8 0.5 8.5 1200.0 1300.0
Southwest Sec 2.7 0.7 8.5 1020.0 1359.2
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
May May ($Bln) May Jan-May May
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median -3.9 -2.3 28.5 5.4 6.0 8.3
High 4.0 11.4 33.0 5.8 6.5 9.2
Low -8.0 -10.2 -6.2 4.8 5.5 6.9
Mean -3.0 -2.1 23.9 5.4 6.1 8.3
No. 18 18 12 18 18 18
Previous -2.7 4.0 13.8 5.4 6.1 7.2
CEBM 0.0 -2.0 N/A 5.0 6.1 8.9
CIB Research -8.0 -4.0 14.0 5.2 6.0 8.6
CICC -7.5 -2.5 N/A 5.0 6.5 7.05
CITIC Sec -5.0 -2.0 N/A 5.5 6.2 8.9
Guotai Junan
Sec -4.0 -7.0 28.9 5.2 6.0 8.9
Huatai Sec 2.4 1.2 24.4 5.8 6.0 8.3
Industrial
Sec -5.0 1.0 14.7 5.5 6.0 N/A
ING -3.8 11.4 -6.2 5.5 6.5 8.1
Merchant Sec 1.1 -3.8 33.0 5.5 5.9 8.0
Minsheng
Bank -6.9 -10.2 32.0 5.2 6.0 8.8
Minsheng Sec -2.7 -7.8 32.4 5.8 5.5 7.9
New Times
Sec -6.0 -4.3 N/A 4.8 6.2 9.1
Nomura 1.0 -3.0 31.2 5.5 6.2 9.0
Peking U
Rsrch -3.0 0.6 30.0 5.0 6.0 6.9
TF Sec -4.0 0.0 N/A 5.0 6.0 8.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan 4.0 2.0 28.0 5.8 6.3 9.2
Sinolink Sec -3.0 -2.0 N/A 5.7 6.0 8.0
Southwest
Sec -4.0 -5.0 24.36 5.3 5.9 8.0
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
May trade data is due for release on June 10.
May CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT June 12.
May Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on June 14.
May money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between June 10 and June 15. Date and time uncertain at publication
time.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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