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MNI DATA SURVEY: China October Economic Data Forecasts

     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                  CPI   PPI   M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                   Oct   Oct  Oct                   Oct             Oct
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median             2.5   3.3  8.3                   800            1200
High               2.8   4.0  8.5                  1500            1300
Low                2.2   2.9  8.2                   700             800
Mean               2.5   3.3  8.3                   899            1090
No.                 21    21   17                    17               9
Previous           2.5   3.6  8.3                  1380            2210
China Sec          2.4   3.5  8.3                   900             N/A
CIB Research       2.5   3.2  8.5                   800            1200
CICC              2.35  3.25  8.3                  1000            1300
Everbright Sec     2.3   3.4  8.3                  1300             N/A
First Capital      2.7   2.9  8.4                   800             N/A
Guotai Junan       2.3   3.2  8.4                   750             800
HSBC               2.6   3.4  N/A                   N/A             N/A
Huachuang Sec      2.4   3.4  8.2                  1000             960
Huatai Sec         2.5   3.3  8.3                   800            1200
ING                2.8     4  8.3                  1500             N/A
Merchant Sec       2.2   3.3  8.2                   700             950
Minsheng Bank      2.4   3.1  8.4                   800            1000
Moody's            2.7   3.7  N/A                   N/A             N/A
Northeast Sec      2.3   3.2  8.4                   780             N/A
Peking U Rsrch     2.5   3.3  8.4                   800             N/A
Ping An Sec        2.5   3.3  8.2                   N/A             N/A
Sealand Sec        2.6   3.4  N/A                   800             N/A
Shanghai Sec       2.5   3.3  8.5                   850             N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan   2.4   3.2  N/A                   N/A             N/A
Sino Link Sec      2.3   3.3  8.2                   960            1200
Southwest Sec      2.6   3.4  8.2                   750            1200
                                        Trade
               Exports   Imports      Balance   Output      Investment    Retail
                   Oct       Oct       ($Bln)      Oct         Jan-Oct       Oct
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            12.0      13.8         35.0      5.8             5.5       9.1
High              23.0      30.5         44.4      6.6             5.7       9.7
Low                6.0      10.0         25.0      5.6             5.3       8.7
Mean              11.7      15.1         35.4      5.8             5.5       9.1
No.                 18        18           12       19              18        19
Previous          14.5      14.3        31.69      5.8             5.4       9.2
China Sec         13.0      16.0          N/A      5.6             5.5       9.1
CIB Research      12.0      15.0         36.9      5.7             5.5       9.2
CICC               9.0      13.5          N/A      5.6             5.5       8.7
Everbright
Sec               12.0      19.0          N/A      5.8             N/A       9.0
First
Capital            N/A       N/A          N/A      6.0             5.5       9.1
Guotai Junan      11.0      13.0         37.4      5.9             5.5       9.0
HSBC               N/A       N/A          N/A      N/A             N/A       N/A
Huachuang
Sec                9.0      13.0        34.18      5.9             5.3       8.9
Huatai Sec        11.2      21.3         25.0      5.7             5.5       9.5
ING               23.0      30.5         34.7      6.0             5.4       9.3
Merchant Sec       9.6      15.9         31.0      5.6             5.5       9.4
Minsheng
Bank              12.0        15         35.0      5.8             5.6       9.0
Moody's            N/A       N/A          N/A      N/A             N/A       N/A
Northeast
Sec                9.0      12.5        34.94      5.6             5.5       8.8
Peking U
Rsrch             12.5      14.0         33.0      5.8             5.3       8.9
Ping An Sec       12.0      13.0         39.8      5.8             5.3       9.0
Sealand Sec       10.2      15.1          N/A      5.8             5.4       9.0
Shanghai Sec      15.0      11.2         39.0      6.6             5.7       9.7
Shenwan
Hongyuan           6.0      13.0          N/A      6.0             5.3       9.3
Sino Link
Sec               12.6      11.0          N/A      5.8             5.5       9.3
Southwest
Sec               12.0      10.0        44.35      5.6             5.4       9.3
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     October trade data is due for release on November 8.
     October CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT November 9.
     October money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between November 10 and November 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
     October Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on November 14.
--MNI London Bureau; +44208-865-3829; email: Jason.Webb@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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