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Free AccessMNI DATA SURVEY: China October Economic Data Forecasts
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
New Loans TSF (CNY
M2 (CNY Bln) Bln) Output Investment Retail
Oct Oct Oct Oct Jan-Oct Oct
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 8.3 800 1160 5.8 5.5 9.1
High 8.5 1500 1300 6.6 5.7 9.7
Low 8.2 700 800 5.6 5.3 8.7
Mean 8.3 894 1093 5.8 5.5 9.1
No. 19 18 10 21 20 21
Previous 8.3 1380 2210 5.8 5.4 9.2
China Sec 8.3 900 N/A 5.6 5.5 9.1
CIB Research 8.5 800 1200 5.7 5.5 9.2
CICC 8.3 1000 1300 5.6 5.5 8.7
Everbright
Sec 8.3 1300 N/A 5.8 N/A 9.0
First Capital 8.4 800 N/A 6.0 5.5 9.1
Guotai Junan 8.4 750 800 5.9 5.5 9.0
HSBC 8.3 800 1120 N/A N/A N/A
Huachuang Sec 8.2 1000 960 5.9 5.3 8.9
Huatai Sec 8.3 800 1200 5.7 5.5 9.5
ING 8.3 1500 N/A 6.0 5.4 9.3
Merchant Sec 8.2 700 950 5.6 5.5 9.4
Minsheng Bank 8.4 800 1000 5.8 5.6 9.0
Moody's 8.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Northeast Sec 8.4 780 N/A 5.6 5.5 8.8
Peking U
Rsrch 8.4 800 N/A 5.8 5.3 8.9
Ping An Sec 8.2 N/A N/A 5.8 5.3 9.0
Sealand Sec N/A 800 N/A 5.8 5.4 9.0
Shanghai Sec 8.5 850 N/A 6.6 5.7 9.7
Shenwan
Hongyuan N/A N/A N/A 6.0 5.3 9.3
Sino Link Sec 8.2 960 1200 5.8 5.5 9.3
Southwest Sec 8.2 750 1200 5.6 5.4 9.3
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
October money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between November 12 and November 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
October Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on November 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
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