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October 11, 2018 19:10 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China September Economic Data Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
GDP CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
Q3 Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.6 2.5 3.5 8.3 1300 1380
High 6.8 2.7 3.8 8.5 1500 1850
Low 6.5 2.2 3.3 8.1 700 1120
Mean 6.6 2.5 3.5 8.3 1258 1428
No. 10 15 15 16 15 9
Previous 6.7 2.3 4.1 8.2 1280 1520
Bank of
China 6.6 2.4 3.6 8.4 1500 na
China Sec 6.6 2.5 3.4 8.3 1300 na
CICC na 2.7 3.3 8.3 1150 1400
CITIC Sec 6.6 2.5 3.4 8.1 1400 na
Everbright
Sec na 2.5 3.6 8.3 na 1380
Guotai Junan 6.6 2.6 3.4 8.3 1450 1350
Haitong Sec 6.5 2.6 3.4 8.2 900.0 1120.0
HSBC na na na 8.5 1100 1375
Huachuang
Sec na 2.4 3.8 8.2 1450 na
Huatai Sec 6.7 2.6 3.3 8.1 1300 1500
ING 6.5 2.7 3.5 8.2 1300 na
Merchant Sec na 2.5 3.7 8.1 1300 1850
Minsheng
Bank na 2.6 3.5 8.3 1300 1500
Moody's na na na 8.2 na na
Sealand Sec 6.6 2.6 3.5 na 1350 na
Shanghai Sec 6.8 2.2 3.4 8.4 700 na
Sino Link
Sec 6.5 2.5 3.6 8.1 1370 1380
Output Sep Investment Jan-Sep Retail Sep
----------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.0 5.3 9.1
High 6.7 5.5 9.6
Low 5.5 5.1 8.7
Mean 6.0 5.3 9.1
No. 15 15 15
Previous 6.1 5.3 9.0
Bank of China 6.1 5.3 9.0
China Sec 6.0 5.3 9.2
CICC 6.0 5.5 9.1
CITIC Sec 5.8 5.3 8.9
Everbright Sec 6.0 5.1 9.2
Guotai Junan 5.9 5.3 8.9
Haitong Sec 5.9 5.1 9.0
HSBC na na na
Huachuang Sec 5.9 5.1 9.1
Huatai Sec 6.0 5.5 9.6
ING 5.5 5.5 8.7
Merchant Sec 6.3 5.5 9.5
Minsheng Bank 5.9 5.2 9.0
Moody's na na na
Sealand Sec 6.0 5.3 8.9
Shanghai Sec 6.7 5.4 9.5
Sino Link Sec 6.1 5.3 9.1
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
September money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to
be released between October 10 and October 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
September CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT October 16.
Q3 GDP, September Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset
investment will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on October 19.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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