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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan December Machine Orders, Jan Trade, CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon, Feb 18  0850/2350   Machinery  Orders     Dec     -0.9    % m/m        0.0
Wed, Feb 20  0850/2350             Exports     Jan     -6.1    % y/y       -3.9
Wed, Feb 20  0850/2350             Imports     Jan     -4.2    % y/y        1.9
Wed, Feb 20  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Jan   -989.7  bln yen      -56.7
Fri, Feb 22  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Jan      0.8    % y/y        0.7
Core Private-Sector Machinery Orders
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                  -0.9
High Forecast                                     3.0
Low Forecast                                     -8.9
Previous Month                                    0.0
Standard Deviation                                4.1
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
Norinchukin Research Institute                    3.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            2.0
BNP Paribas                                       1.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  1.5
Japan Research Institute                          1.0
Hamagin Research Institute                       -0.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                            -0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research                      -1.7
NLI Research Institute                           -5.7
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                   -5.8
Mizuho Research Institute                        -6.4
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                 -7.3
Nomura Securities                                -8.9
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -6.1      -4.2         -989.7
High Forecast                                -1.7       1.1         -120.5
Low Forecast                                 -9.5      -8.1        -1243.1
Previous Month                               -3.9       1.9          -56.7
Standard Deviation                            1.9       2.5          287.5
No. of Responses                               12        12             12
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                   N/A       N/A       -1,165.3
Japan Research Institute                     -1.7       1.1            N/A
NLI Research Institute                       -4.3      -4.5         -891.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                  -5.0      -3.6         -999.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting       -5.5      -6.2         -850.0
Hamagin Research Institute                   -5.9      -3.9       -1,028.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -6.0      -1.0       -1,243.1
Mizuho Research Institute                    -6.1      -6.2         -883.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -6.2      -4.9         -980.0
Nomura Securities                            -6.4      -2.1       -1,188.0
Norinchukin Research Institute               -7.0      -5.0       -1,022.6
SMBC Nikko Securities                        -7.4      -2.8         -120.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management             -9.5      -8.1         -960.0
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.8
High Forecast                                            0.8
Low Forecast                                             0.6
Previous Month                                           0.7
Standard Deviation                                       0.1
No. of Responses                                          13
                                              National % y/y
Hamagin Research Institute                               0.8
Japan Research Institute                                 0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.8
Nomura Securities                                        0.8
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.8
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.8
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.8
BNP Paribas                                              0.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.7
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.7
NLI Research Institute                                   0.7
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.6
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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