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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan February Trade, CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in this week.
Date           JST/GMT               Data  Month  Median           Previous
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Mar 18  0850/2350            Exports    Feb    -3.6    % y/y      -2.6
Wed, Mar 18  0850/2350            Imports    Feb   -15.2    % y/y      -3.5
Wed, Mar 18  0850/2350      Trade Balance    Feb   930.0  bln yen   -1313.2
Thu, Mar 19  0830/2330  National Core CPI    Feb     0.6    % y/y       0.8
Trade Statistics Forecast
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Exports  Imports  Trade Balance
                                          y/y %    y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                            -3.6    -15.2          930.0
High Forecast                              -0.5    -12.0        1,320.0
Low Forecast                               -8.6    -18.0          527.9
Previous Month                             -2.6     -3.5       -1,313.2
Standard Deviation                          2.4      2.0          239.1
No. of Responses                             12       12             13
                                        Exports  Imports  Trade Balance
                                          y/y %    y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                 N/A      N/A          527.9
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management           -0.5    -16.8        1,320.0
Mizuho Research Institute                  -0.6    -15.7        1,243.0
Japan Research Institute                   -1.7    -14.6        1,108.9
Daiwa Institute of Research                -2.5    -12.1          904.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute           -3.0    -16.2        1,120.7
Norinchukin Research Institute             -3.0    -18.0        1,229.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities             -4.1    -14.2          930.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                      -4.5    -12.0          770.6
Shinkinchuo Kinko                          -5.1    -13.3          810.0
Nomura Securities                          -5.6    -16.3          970.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting     -6.0    -12.4          700.0
NLI Research Institute                     -8.6    -16.1          762.2
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-----------------------------------------------------------
                                             National % y/y
Median Forecast                                         0.6
High Forecast                                           0.7
Low Forecast                                            0.5
Previous Month                                          0.8
Standard Deviation                                      0.0
No. of Responses                                         13
                                             National % y/y
Daiwa Institute of Research                             0.7
NLI Research Institute                                  0.7
BNP Paribas                                             0.6
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                        0.6
Japan Research Institute                                0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                  0.6
Mizuho Research Institute                               0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                          0.6
Nomura Securities                                       0.6
Norinchukin Research Institute                          0.6
Shinkinchuo Kinko                                       0.6
SMBC Nikko Securities                                   0.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                        0.5
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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