MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Oct Tokyo CPI, Sep Retail, Output, Jobs

     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist

survey for key Japanese data due in this week.

Date           JST/GMT               Data  Month  Median         Previous

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tue, Oct 29  0830/2330     Tokyo Core CPI    Oct     0.6  % y/y       0.5

Wed, Oct 30  0850/2350       Retail Sales    Sep     6.9  % y/y       1.8

Thu, Oct 31  0850/2350  Industrial Output    Sep     0.5  % m/m      -1.2

Fri, Nov 1   0830/2330  Unemployment Rate    Sep     2.2      %       2.2

Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)

--------------------------------------------------------

                                             Tokyo % y/y

Median Forecast                                      0.6

High Forecast                                        1.3

Low Forecast                                         0.4

Previous Month                                       0.5

Standard Deviation                                   0.2

No. of Responses                                      11

                                             Tokyo % y/y

Norinchukin Research Institute                       1.3

Hamagin Research Institute                           0.9

SMBC Nikko Securities                                0.9

BNP Paribas                                          0.7

Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting               0.7

Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                     0.6

Mizuho Research Institute                            0.6

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                       0.6

NLI Research Institute                               0.6

Nomura Securities                                    0.5

Japan Research Institute                             0.4

Preliminary Retail Sales

----------------------------------------------------

                                        Change y/y %

Median Forecast                                  6.9

High Forecast                                    9.3

Low Forecast                                     3.9

Previous Month                                   1.8

Standard Deviation                               1.6

No. of Responses                                   9

                                        Change y/y %

Mizuho Research Institute                        9.3

NLI Research Institute                           7.5

Japan Research Institute                         7.2

Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting           7.2

Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 6.9

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                   6.2

Nomura Securities                                5.5

BNP Paribas                                      5.3

Hamagin Research Institute                       3.9

Preliminary Industrial Production

----------------------------------------------------

                                        Change m/m %

Median Forecast                                  0.5

High Forecast                                    1.3

Low Forecast                                    -0.1

Previous Month                                  -1.2

Standard Deviation                               0.4

No. of Responses                                  12

                                        Change m/m %

Nomura Securities                                1.3

NLI Research Institute                           1.0

BNP Paribas                                      0.7

Hamagin Research Institute                       0.7

Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 0.6

Daiwa Institute of Research                      0.5

Japan Research Institute                         0.4

SMBC Nikko Securities                            0.3

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                   0.2

Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting           0.1

Norinchukin Research Institute                   0.0

Mizuho Research Institute                       -0.1

Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted)

--------------------------------------------

                                           %

Median Forecast                          2.2

High Forecast                            2.3

Low Forecast                             2.2

Previous Month                           2.2

Standard Deviation                       0.1

No. of Responses                          12

                                           %

BNP Paribas                              2.3

Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.3

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.3

NLI Research Institute                   2.3

Norinchukin Research Institute           2.3

Daiwa Institute of Research              2.2

Hamagin Research Institute               2.2

Japan Research Institute                 2.2

Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.2

Mizuho Research Institute                2.2

Nomura Securities                        2.2

SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.2

--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com

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