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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan October Trade Statistics, CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT               Data  Month  Median           Previous
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Nov 20  0850/2350            Exports    Oct    -7.5    % y/y      -5.2
Wed, Nov 20  0850/2350            Imports    Oct   -16.9    % y/y      -1.5
Wed, Nov 20  0850/2350      Trade Balance    Oct   335.1  bln yen    -124.8
Fri, Nov 22  0830/2330  National Core CPI    Oct     0.4    % y/y       0.3
Trade Statistics Forecast
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Exports  Imports  Trade Balance
                                          y/y %    y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                            -7.5    -16.9          335.1
High Forecast                              -2.7    -14.3          630.1
Low Forecast                               -9.0    -22.2          175.8
Previous Month                             -5.2     -1.5         -124.8
Standard Deviation                          1.8      2.8          157.7
No. of Responses                             12       12             13
                                        Exports  Imports  Trade Balance
                                          y/y %    y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                 N/A      N/A          335.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting     -2.7    -14.3          450.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management           -5.1    -17.7          540.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                      -6.7    -14.5          175.8
Japan Research Institute                   -6.7    -15.2          229.3
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute           -6.8    -16.0          283.1
NLI Research Institute                     -7.0    -15.4          219.1
Hamagin Research Institute                 -8.0    -15.9          190.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities             -8.4    -20.7          520.0
Mizuho Research Institute                  -8.6    -17.9          301.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                -8.6    -22.2          630.1
Nomura Securities                          -8.7    -19.2          386.2
Norinchukin Research Institute             -9.0    -22.0          585.8
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-----------------------------------------------------------
                                             National % y/y
Median Forecast                                         0.4
High Forecast                                           0.6
Low Forecast                                            0.2
Previous Month                                          0.3
Standard Deviation                                      0.1
No. of Responses                                         13
                                             National % y/y
Mizuho Research Institute                               0.6
Hamagin Research Institute                              0.5
Japan Research Institute                                0.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                          0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                        0.5
BNP Paribas                                             0.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                        0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                  0.4
NLI Research Institute                                  0.4
Nomura Securities                                       0.4
SMBC Nikko Securities                                   0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research                             0.3
Norinchukin Research Institute                          0.2
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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