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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for July-September

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the forecasts for Japan's gross domestic
product data for the July-September quarter by nine economists surveyed by MNI.
     The Cabinet Office is scheduled to preliminary Q3 GDP on Nov 14, 0850 JST
(2350 GMT Tuesday, Nov 13). 
The forecasts are in q/q percentage changes, except for the contributions of
private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data                 Median  Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q                -0.2       0.7
GDP Annualized         -0.9       3.0
Consumption            -0.2       0.7
Capex                   0.0       3.1
Public Investment      -2.5       0.0
Private Inventories     0.0       0.0
Net Exports            -0.1      -0.1
                                    GDP
-----------------------------------------------------
                                  % Q/Q  % Annualized
Median Forecast                    -0.2          -0.9
High Forecast                      -0.2          -0.7
Low Forecast                       -0.5          -2.1
Previous                            0.7           3.0
Standard Deviation                  0.1           0.5
No. of Responses                      9             9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute   -0.2          -0.7
Mitsubishi Research Institute      -0.2          -0.7
NLI                                -0.2          -0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley      -0.2          -0.8
SMBC Nikko Securities              -0.2          -0.9
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C                 -0.3          -1.0
Mizuho Research                    -0.3          -1.3
Daiwa Institute of Research        -0.4          -1.6
Japan Research                     -0.5          -2.1
                                  Consumption  Capex  Public Works
------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        % Q/Q  % Q/Q         % Q/Q
Median Forecast                          -0.2    0.0          -2.5
High Forecast                             0.0    1.1          -1.2
Low Forecast                             -0.5   -1.1          -3.3
Previous                                  0.7    3.1           0.0
Standard Deviation                        0.2    0.7           0.7
No. of Responses                            9      9             9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute          0.0    0.3          -2.2
Mitsubishi Research Institute             0.0   -0.6          -2.6
NLI                                      -0.1   -0.2          -2.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley            -0.2    0.9          -2.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                    -0.3    1.1          -1.4
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C                       -0.3    0.0          -1.2
Mizuho Research                          -0.2   -1.1          -2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research              -0.5    0.0          -3.3
Japan Research                           -0.3    0.4          -2.3
                                   Private Inventories            Net Export
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  % Point Contribution  % Point Contribution
Median Forecast                                    0.0                  -0.1
High Forecast                                      0.1                   0.0
Low Forecast                                       0.0                  -0.3
Previous                                           0.1                   0.0
Standard Deviation                                 0.0                   0.1
No. of Responses                                     9                     9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                   0.0                  -0.1
Mitsubishi Research Institute                      0.0                  -0.1
NLI                                                0.0                  -0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley                      0.0                  -0.2
SMBC Nikko Securities                              0.0                  -0.2
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C                                 0.0                  -0.1
Mizuho Research                                    0.1                   0.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                        0.0                  -0.1
Japan Research                                     0.0                  -0.3
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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