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MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
26 September 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Sgd1.3584
*RES 4: Sgd1.3593 - Bollinger band top
*RES 3: Sgd1.3584 - High Sept 4
*RES 2: Sgd1.3576 - 55-DMA
*RES 1: Sgd1.3538 - High Sept 14
*PRICE: Sgd1.3512 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3496 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3430 - Low Sept 22
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3399 - Bollinger base, Low Sept 20
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3294 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Bulls are again trying to gain traction above the 21-DMA with focus
currently on Sgd1.3538-1.3584. Bulls now look for a close above Sgd1.3584 to
confirm a break of the 55-DMA and to shift focus to Sgd1.3686-1.3720 where the
bear channel top and 100-DMA are situated. Daily studies have room to move
before O/B is an issue. Bears now need a close below the 21-DMA to gain
breathing room and below Sgd1.3399 to confirm focus on 2017 lows.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Topside Follow Through Lacking
*RES 4: Krw1142.5 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: Krw1140.1 - Low Aug 18 now resistance
*RES 2: Krw1137.3 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: Krw1133.0 - High Sept 25
*PRICE: Krw1131.8 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1127.1 - Rising daily TL
*SUP 2: Krw1125.1 - Low Sept 8
*SUP 3: Krw1121.5 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28
*COMMENTARY: The break to the topside lacked follow through last Friday with the
pair correcting lower Monday. Layers of resistance Krw1140.1-1148.1 where the
200-DMA is located remain key. Bulls need a close above Krw1148.1 to confirm a
break of the 200-DMA and to shift focus to 2017 highs (Krw1211.5). Bears look
for a close below Krw1125.1 to hint at a move back to 2017 lows with a close
below Krw1119.0 needed to confirm.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Myr4.2210
*RES 4: Myr4.2485 - High Sept 6
*RES 3: Myr4.2380 - Low Sept 6 now resistance
*RES 2: Myr4.2279 - 21-DMA
*RES 1: Myr4.2210 - High Sept 7
*PRICE: Myr4.1990 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.1800 - Low Nov 9
*SUP 2: Myr4.1700 - Low Oct 27
*SUP 3: Myr4.1400 - Low Oct 11
*SUP 4: Myr4.1330 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Despite remaining heavy and pressuring the Myr4.1800 support bears
have so far failed to produce the close below to confirm initial focus on
Myr4.1330-00 where the bear channel base is noted. Very O/S daily studies
looking to correct remain the key concern for bears. Initial resistance is noted
at Myr4.2210 with bulls needing a close above to ease bearish pressure and above
Myr4.2380 to shift focus back to Myr4.2575-2680.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Closes Above Channel Top
*RES 4: Cnh6.6561 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: Cnh6.6411 - Low Aug 25
*RES 2: Cnh6.6296 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: Cnh6.6276 - High Aug 29
*PRICE: Cnh6.6136 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.5860 - High Sept 22 now support
*SUP 2: Cnh6.5607 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5573 - Low Sept 21
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5409 - Low Sept 18
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from 2017 lows looks received a boost from the close
above the bear channel top that sees bullish focus shift to Cnh6.6276-6561 where
the 55-DMA is noted. Daily studies approaching O/B and the Bollinger are key
concerns for bulls. In saying that, bear now need a close below Cnh6.5860 to
ease bullish pressure and below Cnh6.5573 to shift focus lower.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bears Focused On 100-DMA
*RES 4: Php51.295 - High Sept 15
*RES 3: Php51.163 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 2: Php51.030 - 21-DMA
*RES 1: Php50.839 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: Php50.710 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php50.550 - Low Aug 9
*SUP 2: Php50.830 - High Aug 2 now support
*SUP 3: Php50.417 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.250 - Monthly Low Aug 7
*COMMENTARY: Having supported on dips since June, bears take comfort in closes
below the 55-DMA that see immediate focus currently on the 100-DMA. Overall
below the 200-DMA (Php50.177) is needed to end bullish hopes and shift focus
back to Php49.365 June lows. Layers of resistance are weighing with bulls
needing a close above the 55-DMA to ease bearish pressure and above Php51.390 to
return focus to 2017 highs.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Still Need Close Above 21-DMA
*RES 4: Thb33.53 - High July 26
*RES 3: Thb33.44 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 2: Thb33.41 - High July 27
*RES 1: Thb33.12 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Thb33.10 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8
*SUP 2: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 3: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*SUP 4: Thb32.44 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of May 2015 monthly lows continues with the 21-DMA
capping. Bulls need a close above the 21-DMA to confirm an easing of bearish
pressure. Bulls then need a close above Thb33.53 to confirm breaks of the 55-DMA
(Thb33.27) and bear channel top with immediate focus shifting to Thb33.69-88.
Bears still need a close below Thb32.98 to retain focus on Thb32.44-52 where a
channel base it noted.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bears Need Close Below 21-DMA
*RES 4: Idr13410 - High July 7 & 10
*RES 3: Idr13380 - Low July 11 now resistance
*RES 2: Idr13352 - High Aug 31
*RES 1: Idr13349 - 100-WMA
*PRICE: Idr13325 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13295 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 2: Idr13285 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Idr13250 - Low Sept 19
*SUP 4: Idr13220 - Low Sept 14
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from 2017 lows now sees the pair flirting with key
DMAs. Bulls now look for a close above Idr13352 to confirm breaks of key DMAs
and confirm focus on Idr13380-13415. Layers of support have followed the pair
higher with bears now needing a close below the 21-DMA to ease renewed bullish
pressure and below Idr13250 to shift focus back to 2017 lows.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.