Free Trial

MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis

8 November 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: 55-DMA Remains Key Support
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17 
*RES 3: Sgd1.3685 - Bollinger band top 
*RES 2: Sgd1.3677 - Hourly resistance Oct 27 
*RES 1: Sgd1.3659 - High Nov 6
*PRICE: Sgd1.3617 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3605 - Low Nov 7 
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3581 - Low Nov 3 
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3580 - Daily Bull channel base 
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3557 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Pressure on the 55-DMA last week failed to produce the close below
needed to confirm a break of the 55-DMA and bull channel base with immediate
focus then shifting to Sgd1.3484. Bulls now need a close above Sgd1.3659 to
confirm a break of the 100-DMA (Sgd1.3621) and focus on $1.3720. Daily studies
correcting higher is a concern for bears. Bears continue to look for a close
below the 55-DMA.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Focus Remains On 2017 Low
*RES 4: Krw1123.5 - Low Oct 30 now resistance
*RES 3: Krw1120.1 - 200-WMA
*RES 2: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28 now resistance
*RES 1: Krw1114.6 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*PRICE: Krw1111.9 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1110.5 - 2017 Low Mar 28
*SUP 2: Krw1107.0 - Low Oct 10 2016
*SUP 3: Krw1097.8 - Low Sept 30 2016
*SUP 4: Krw1089.7 - 2016 Low Sept 7
*COMMENTARY: Gapping moves leave the pair looking heavy with focus on 2017 lows
following the closes below the 200-WMA. The weekly close below is also seen
adding weight to their case. Bears still need a close below 2017 lows to target
2016 lows. Bulls need a close above the 200-WMA to ease bearish pressure and
above Krw1126.8 to hint at a bounce back to the 55-DMA (Krw1130.0).
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Rallies Capped Ahead Of 100-DMA
*RES 4: Myr4.2860 - High Aug 30 
*RES 3: Myr4.2680 - High Sept 5 
*RES 2: Myr4.2574 - 100-DMA 
*RES 1: Myr4.2558 - High Oct 26
*PRICE: Myr4.2290 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2100 - Low Oct 30 
*SUP 2: Myr4.2062 - Low Oct 16 
*SUP 3: Myr4.1940 - Low Oct 13 
*SUP 4: Myr4.1870 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The 100-DMA capped rallies in recent weeks with bulls needing a
close above Myr4.2680 to confirm a break and hint at a move back to
Myr4.3112-3282 where the 200-DMA is noted. Bulls look for a close above My4.2860
to add support to their case. Bears still look for a close below Myr4.2100 to
shift focus back to Myr4.1800-1940 following the lack of downside follow through
in recent weeks.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Cnh6.5852 Support Remains Key
*RES 4: Cnh6.6904 - High Oct 3 
*RES 3: Cnh6.6702 - 100-DMA 
*RES 2: Cnh6.6651 - High Oct 27 
*RES 1: Cnh6.6448 - High Nov 6
*PRICE: Cnh6.6410 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.6150 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.6024 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5852 - Low Nov 2
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5613 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: Bears failed to capitalise on the dip below the 55-DMA (Cnh6.6024)
last week with the bounce seeing pressure return to resistance layers. Bulls
still need a close above Cnh6.6904 to shift focus to the 200-DMA (Cnh6.7651).
Bears continue to look for a close below Cnh6.5852 to confirm breaks of DMAs and
add weight to the case for an initial test of Cnh6.5568 and then Cnh6.5053.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Immediate Bearish Focus On Channel Base
*RES 4: Php51.850 - 2017 High Oct 27 
*RES 3: Php51.610 - Low Oct 30 now resistance 
*RES 2: Php51.424 - 21-DMA 
*RES 1: Php51.355 - High Nov 6
*PRICE: Php51.280 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.140 - Low Nov 3 
*SUP 2: Php51.048 - Daily Bull channel base 
*SUP 3: Php50.842 - 100-DMA 
*SUP 4: Php50.720 - Low Sept 26
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2017 highs is struggling a little to gain
traction below the 55-DMA (Php52.205) as bears focus on the daily bull channel
base. Bears need a close below the channel base to shift immediate focus to the
100-DMA. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 21-DMA to ease bearish
pressure and above Php51.610 to return focus to 2017 highs.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Focus Back on 2017 Low
*RES 4: Thb33.54 - High Oct 3 
*RES 3: Thb33.37 - 100-DMA 
*RES 2: Thb33.35 - High Oct 27, 21-WMA 
*RES 1: Thb33.22 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: Thb33.14 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8, Oct 16 
*SUP 2: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015 
*SUP 3: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015 
*SUP 4: Thb32.26 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: The break of Thb33.25 lacked follow through with recent topside
hesitation resulting in a break of Thb33.10 and immediate focus returned to the
2017 low. Overall bears need a close below Thb32.98 to shift focus to Thb32.52.
Bulls still need a close above the 100-DMA to ease bearish pressure and above
Thb33.54 to hint at a move back to Thb33.77-98 where the 200-DMA is situated.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13540
*RES 4: Idr13664 - Rising TL off Sept & Oct highs 
*RES 3: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27 
*RES 2: Idr13605 - High Oct 30 
*RES 1: Idr13540 - Low Nov 2 now resistance
*PRICE: Idr13512 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13465 - Bollinger band base 
*SUP 2: Idr13455 - Low Oct 5 
*SUP 3: Idr13419 - 55-DMA 
*SUP 4: Idr13383 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies correcting from O/B weighed and have resulted in a
break and closes below the 21-DMA (Idr13533). Immediate focus has shifted to the
Idr13455 support with bears needing a close below to confirm focus on
Idr13352-417 where 55, 100 & 200-DMAs are situated. Bulls now need a close above
Idr13540 to ease pressure on supports and shift focus back to Idr13605-640.
DOLLAR-INR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Inr65.195
*RES 4: Inr65.511 - LT Falling daily TL 
*RES 3: Inr65.413 - High Oct 9 
*RES 2: Inr65.195 - High Oct 25 
*RES 1: Inr65.119 - 200-DMA
*PRICE: Inr65.025 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Inr64.943 - 21-DMA 
*SUP 2: Inr64.738 - High Nov 6 now support 
*SUP 3: Inr64.610 - 55-DMA 
*SUP 4: Inr63.485 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of the 100-DMA has taken its toll with an
aggressive rally and bullish close that now sees focus on the 200-DMA. Bulls now
look for a close above Inr65.195 to confirm a break of the 200-DMA and to focus
on Inr65.413-650 where the falling daily TL off Nov 2016 highs is situated.
Layers of support have been left behind with bears now needing a close below the
21-DMA to ease pressure on the 200-DMA.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
}); window.REBELMOUSE_ACTIVE_TASKS_QUEUE.push(function(){ window.dataLayer.push({ 'event' : 'logedout', 'loggedOut' : 'loggedOut' }); });