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MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Flat-To-Short

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Flat-To-Short

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Flat-To-Short

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Structural positioning in European bond futures contracts has stayed flat/short since our last biweekly update, with some notable volatility in Gilt positioning in the interim.
  • Last week saw a mixture of trade, with both shorts and longs set and reduced.

Full PDF Analysis:

MNIPi03Oct2022.pdf

  • GERMANY: There has been no change in the structural positioning of any German futures contract since our last update, though trade last week was mixed. Schatz (short cover last week) and Bobl (longs set last week) positioning remains flat, with Bund (shorts set last week) and Buxl (longs reduced last week) positioning still short.
  • OAT: Positioning has shifted back into flat territory vs short in our last update. Longs were reduced last week.
  • GILT: Positioning jumped briefly into flat territory early last week amid market dislocations, but returned structurally short as markets calmed. Last week saw longs reduced.
  • BTP: Structural positioning is the most short in our MNI Pi matrix. Further shorts were set last week.

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