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MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Almost All Short

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Almost All Short

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Almost All Short

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Structural shorts have continued to grow for most European FI contracts, with all but Gilt now in short territory.
  • Most contracts saw shorts set last week.
  • Interestingly, BTP has bucked the trend, finally exiting "very short"" territory for the first time since early February.

FULL PDF ANALYSIS:

MNIPi9May2022.pdf

  • GERMANY: Three of the four German contracts are now in short structural positioning - the exception being Schatz which is very short (and the shortest among European FI contracts tracked by MNI). Bund had been the remaining holdout among German contracts, at flat in our previous biweekly update, but has now moved to short positioning. All German contracts saw short-setting last week.
  • OAT: Structural positioning has moved to short after remaining mostly in flat territory for the prior three months. Last week saw longs reduced.
  • GILT: Structural positioning remains flat (where it was in our last biweekly update), but is edging toward net long territory. Last week saw shorts set.
  • BTP: structural positioning has moved decisively away from the shortest levels in years (where it hovered for 3 months), and is now merely short. Longs were reduced last week.

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