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Modi, AMLO Top Major Economy Leader Poll, Macron Last


Under Pressure


Trend Condition Remains Bearish

Fig. 1: BTP Issuance In Focus


EGB SUMMARY: Bunds head lower as equities reverse losses

  • After being stable for most of the day, fixed Bunds began following Treasuries lower around 2:00BST - shortly before the US cash open with curve steepening, equities going bid and some continued optimism surrounding US fiscal stimulus prospects helping risk appetite.
  • BTPs have been in focus with the syndicated exchange transaction seeing a new 30-year BTP launched for EUR8bln but with just shy of EUR10bln of buybacks of shorter-dated debt.
  • Bund futures are down -0.30 today at 175.41 with 10y Bund yields up 1.1bp at -0.578% and Schatz yields unch at -0.779%.
  • BTP futures are down -0.16 today at 148.68 with 10y yields up 0.5bp at 0.786% and 2y yields down -1.4bp at -0.329%.
  • OAT futures are down -0.34 today at 169.39 with 10y yields up 1.5bp at -0.297% and 2y yields down -0.5bp at -0.704%.

GILT SUMMARY: Sunak Ups The Ante On Job Support Scheme

Gilts have been offered today and the curve has bear steepened.

  • Cash yields are now 2-4bp higher on the day and the curve 2bp steeper. Last yields: 2-year -0.0384%, 5-year -0.0322%, 10-year 0.2712%, 30-year 0.8437%.
  • The Dec-20 gilt future trades at 135.52, towards the lower end of the day's range (L: 135.45 / H: 135.87).
  • Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak as announced further job support measures following the fresh surge in coronavirus infections and tightening of social restrictions across the UK.
  • The DMO earlier sold GBP2.25bn of the 0.625% Jul-35 Gilt and GBP1.75bn of the 0.625% Oct-50 Gilt. A further GBP382.0mn and GBP236.875mn of the respective issues was taken up through the PAOF.
  • Tomorrow will see the release of retail sales for September and preliminary PMI data for October.


  • Vol seller: LF1 100.00^ sold at 8.5 in 2k all day
  • Bull flattener: 0LM1/LM1 100.12/100.25cs, bought the mid for half in 4.5k
  • LH1 99.875/100.00^^, bought for 6 in 10k - potentially short cover as has been sold at 6.5 incl yesterday
  • RXZ0 176c, sold at 59.5 in 1.8k * ref 175.54
  • Bund downside: RXZ0 174.50/173.00ps vs 178.00c, bought the ps for 15 and 17 in 1.7k calls.
  • Bund far OTM downside: RXZ0 166.00p, bought for 1 in 2.6k


MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3807 |
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3807 |