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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW: ETUC Sees EU Finance Ministry Need
--ETUC SecGen Visentini Tells MNI That Both Juncker, Moscovici Agree
--EU Treasury Only Way To Unlock Public Investment - ETUC
--Accepts Germany Needs To Be On Board
By Tara Oakes
BRUSSELS (MNI) - Key European players are on board for the creation of a
euro area treasury to revive dwindling public investment, Luca Visentini,
Secretary General of ETUC, told Market News on the eve of the European Union's
State of the Union address.
Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker will deliver his latest SOTEU
speech at 0700GMT, outlining the direction the bloc will take over coming
months, with many looking for a clearer post-Brexit economic roadmap.
The EU-wide investment plan that bears Juncker's name is often namechecked
in relation to projects for which it has succeeded in drumming up investment.
But Visentini said during an MNI interview that the plan has done little to
mobilise public investment.
"Public investment dropped dramatically after the (financial) crisis,
especially in the last five years. But it's not recovering at all despite the
investment plan and despite all of the mechanisms that have been put in place,"
he told MNI.
"The European Stability Mechanism, the different funds to save the
countries in trouble: all these forces didn't mobile public investment at all.
This is the major reason why although there is economy recovery, there is no job
creation," Vistentini added.
Unemployment has dropped in the bloc since the crisis, but the recovery is
uneven and masks worryingly high figures in Greece and Spain, Visentini said,
noting the precarity of many of the jobs created.
The solution? A European Treasury, according to the ETUC chief, whose
organisation represents 45 million members from different national unions.
"The only way to do it is to have a joint tool managed by the European
Union - particularly the European Commission - gathering money in the markets at
very low interest rates and reinvesting this money in a country in the European
Union, particularly the ones that need more investment because they don't have
fiscal space to find this money to be invested," Visentini told MNI.
BIG BEASTS
Visentini said he was "hopeful" the issue would be raised by Juncker in the
SOTEU.
"President Juncker agrees on this. Commissioner Moscovici, who would be in
charge of this kind of tool if it's created, also agrees with this," Visentini
claimed.
The idea is not new: the 2015 Five Presidents' report on strengthening
Economic and Monetary Union suggested that "completing EMU" would require "more
far-reaching actions ... to make the convergence process more binding, through
for example a set of commonly agreed benchmarks for convergence which would be
of legal nature, as well as a euro area treasury".
Closer EMU would also be enhanced by handing over the running of the
currently informal Eurogroup to the Commissioner for Economic and Financial
Affairs: currently France's Pierre Moscovici.
"We would be very happy if Moscovici would take over the position from
Dijsselbloem," Visentini confirmed. Jeroen Dijsselbloem currently holds the
Eurogroup chair as a result of his position as finance minister of the
Netherlands. For Visentini, moving it away from Eurozone finance ministers and
putting the Commission in charge of the position would be an "extraordinary,
revolutionary change".
But to get some traction, Germany will have to be convinced of the merits
of the new ideas: a hard sell, likely only to be addressed after the upcoming
elections.
"This kind of Treasury mechanism we are proposing doesn't imply any fiscal
transfer," Visentini insisted.
"It's simply about guaranteeing bonds to be issued in the market by the
treasury to gather money to pay to them to invest this money in every country.
And this doesn't imply, let's say, German voters or taxpayers give money to
Greece or others. It's simply only a guarantee to be able for this public
mechanism managed by the EU to mobilise public investment," he told MNI.
CHARITY BEGINS AT HOME
Germany is certainly the largest economy in Europe. But beyond calling for
"solidarity" with other member states whose economies are lagging behind,
Visentini echoed the EC's concern that Europe's powerhouse is not spending
enough back home on investment or increasing wages.
"Solidarity doesn't mean only fiscal transfers to countries in trouble. The
main issue is that they start investing back in their own country," Visentini
told MNI.
"The German government is not doing that. This is a scandal in Europe," he
added.
However, it's not distant German elites who need convincing, but the voters
themselves.
Centre-left chancellorship candidate Martin Schulz has called for greater
public investment in infrastructure, internet, childcare, housing and more, with
one campaign leaflet recognising that despite the flourishing economy: "Germany
has one of the worse public investment quotas of industrialised nations".
His reward for speaking out on the country's refusal to invest in itself
has been nothing but flagging poll numbers: the latest INSA survey, published
Monday, put his SPD party at 23.5%, compared to Angela Merkel's CDU/CSU at
36.5%.
But Merkel too, even if she sleepwalks back to power, will have to take
into account Juncker's Wednesday vision for the bloc and any pushes for closer
EMU -- then test the waters back home.
--MNI Brussels Bureau; +44 203-865-3851; email: tara.oakes@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$E$$$,M$X$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MX$$$$,MFX$$$,MGX$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.