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MNI EXCLUSIVE: Italy May Boost Spending By EUR-8-10 Bln

--Spending Boost May Come In Decree Before September
By Silvia Marchetti
     ROME(MNI) - Italy could further raise deficit spending before September by
roughly EUR8-10 billion in additional pandemic stimulus, ruling coalition
sources told MNI.
     The measure could be approved in a decree requiring parliamentary
authorisation, adding to two earlier decrees, for EUR25 billion in March, and
EUR55 billion in May.
     It could support critical sectors such as tourism, the car industry and
struggling workers, but one source noted many areas needed help. Local
authorities could also receive additional financing, and some of the funds could
go towards providing more guarantees for bank loans.
     The spending in the decree, which might be approved before the summer
break, would not be covered by the recent European Commission's approval of an
'umbrella' scheme under state aid rules allowing Italy up to EUR9 billion in
additional support for its economy during the pandemic, said sources with links
to the Democratic Party and the Five-Stars Movement.
     --EU UMBRELLA
     "That umbrella is the maximum state aid flexibility granted for 2020, most
of which has already been incorporated within the second EUR55 billion decree,"
said one of the sources, adding that state aid to support struggling firms would
not be included in deficit computations, in line with EU rules.
     The other source noted how Italy had spent much less than other European
countries such as Germany, allowing Rome more room for extra stimulus between
now and the end of the year, particularly if the economy contracts by more than
-8% and if aid from the EU's planned Recovery Fund arrives only in 2021.
     Governing coalition parties are already debating additional spending, for a
future decree at a time still be decided. But another source cautioned that it
not make sense to outline further measures before September, when the government
is expected to update its fiscal plan with new macroeconomic forecasts.
     "It is an option on the table, but it hasn't been yet defined and we need
to look at the timing as well," the source said.
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3829; email: jason.webb@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MFIBU$,M$E$$$,M$I$$$,M$X$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$]

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