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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI EXCLUSIVE: Italy Targets E6Bln Bank Tax Boost Over 3 Years
--Italian Budget Aims At Extra EUR4.3 Billion Revenues From Bank Taxes In 2019
--10% Tax Deduction For Losses And Bad Loans Frozen Until 2026
By Silvia Marchetti
ROME(MNI) - Italy plans to raise more than expected from planned tax
increases on banks, hoping for roughly EUR6 billion in extra revenues over the
next three years from lenders struggling under a heavy weight of non-performing
loans, a document seen by MNI shows.
According to a revised budget plan forwarded this week to the European
Commission, the bulk of the new measures focus on scrapping tax credits for
recapitalizations and abolishing the so-called "economic growth support" scheme,
which has so far allowed banks to convert costs for new activities and
investments into future tax credits.
All new measures will be "immediately effective" as of 2019, when the
government hopes to raise EUR4.3 billion. The following year, it hopes to raise
EUR0.5 billion, and EUR0.8 billion in 2021.
Previous media reports had indicated that the governing coalition between
the populist 5-Star Movement and the right-wing Lega aimed to raise EUR3.3
billion from the measures next year.
--TAX DEDUCTION FROZEN
The document also provided not-previously-reported details on the proposed
taxes.
Banks will no longer be able to benefit from a 10% tax deduction for losses
and bad loans, which will be frozen until 2026.
Additional revenues will come also from compliance with the IFSR9
accounting rule, spreading out tax deductions for expected future losses,
including those for bad and non-performing loans, over 10 years. According to
the budget document, this new rule will be applied retrospectively for potential
deductions, and 10% of the expected losses must be re-calculated starting from
January 2018, when IFSR9 was introduced.
A state guarantee for senior tranches of bad loans sold on by banks will
also be reviewed. The scheme, launched in 2016 after a long confrontation with
the European authorities over state aid risks, has reduced the volume of bad
debt on banks' balance sheets by a fourth, and the government asked the European
Commission in July to be able to extend it for a further six months.
The Bank of Italy recently warned that the planned measures could make bank
recapitalization needs even tougher, especially the abolition of the "economic
growth support" scheme.
--CHANGES ROLL BACK "PRO-BANK GIFTS"
But a 5-Star Movement source familiar with the new tax scheme was
dismissive of such concerns.
"The 'economic growth support' rule has always been exploited by banks to
boost their capital and strengthen their financial position, rather than
actually hire new workers or open new agencies. There has been no impact in
local development," the source told MNI.
The changes roll bank previous banking regulations adopted by the
governments of premiers Mario Monti and Matteo Renzi, which the populist
coalition has dubbed "pro-bank gifts".
"We need to put an end to the many tricks banks have been playing to deduct
losses and delaying write-offs to the detriment of savers and deposit-holders.
Things will be different from next year," added the source.
The biggest impact from the rule changes will hit banks next year, just as
the European Central Bank ends its bond-buying programme. Banks' share prices
have also sunk during the Italian government's standoff with the European Union
over its budget plans, as falling prices for Italian sovereign bonds held in
large quantities by lenders erode their capital.
Italian banks also need to repay EUR250 billion to the ECB between June
2020 and March 2021 as Targetted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations loans come
due, according to Moody's Investors Service.
A source within the Italian Banking Association declined to comment on the
new measures, telling MNI: "Much can change when parliament considers the budget
plan. We will wait and see what the final law will be."
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3829; email: jason.webb@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MFIBU$,M$E$$$,M$I$$$,M$X$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$,MFX$$$,MGX$$$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.