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MNI Fed Preview - Jan 2022: It’s “Really Time”…Soon

FED
MNI has just published its January FOMC preview (sent to subscribers and available on our website):
  • The FOMC will continue its hawkish shift at the January meeting, using the Statement to signal that a rate hike is coming in March.
  • But with a March hike and 4 2022 hikes priced in, hawkish risks are fairly limited, and lack of a clear intention to liftoff at the next meeting in the Statement would be met with a dovish market reaction.
  • The main hawkish risk potential comes from balance sheet communications, starting with a potential end to asset purchases a month earlier than expected.
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