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MNI Fed Preview November 2022: Analyst Views

FED

Sell-side bank analysts are unanimous in their expectation for a 75bp hike to 3.75-4.00% at the November FOMC, based on the 32 previews we read ahead of the meeting. Our overview of sell-side expectations is available here.

  • Looking ahead to December’s decision, opinion is split: a plurality see a 50bp hike, but several (Barclays, BNP, UBS, Credit Suisse, Deutsche) see a fifth and final 75bp raise.
  • The expected peak/ terminal rate varies from 4.25-4.50% (a further 50bp in total hikes after the November FOMC), to 5.00-5.25% (a further 125bp beyond November: Barclays, BNP, UBS).
  • Note to readers: MNI’s Fed Preview is now published in the week prior to the FOMC meeting, with sell-side analyst summaries published separately. MNI’s full Fed Preview is available here.

Source: MNI Based On Sell-Side Notes

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