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MNI Fed Preview - Sept 2021: Consider This "Advance Notice"

FED

MNI's preview for the September 2021 FOMC meeting has been published(click on that link for the full analysis on our website, and email has gone out to subscribers).

  • The September FOMC meeting will set up a taper start in late 2021, increasingly likely to be in November.
  • While details of the FOMC's taper plan may not emerge from this meeting, a taper is likely to include $15B/meeting pace and optionality to adjust at each meeting, opening up the possibility of an end-2022 rate hike.
  • Consensus expects the median Fed funds rate 'dot plot' path to remain fairly static at this meeting vs the June projections, setting up hawkish risks.

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