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MNI Fed Review - Dec 2022: Still More Work To Do

MNI Fed Review - Dec 2022: Still More Work To Do

MNI Fed Review - Dec 2022: Still More Work To Do

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • The rise in the 2023 Dot Plot median rate estimate and Chair Powell’s pushback against the recent easing of financial conditions made for a hawkish December FOMC meeting outcome.
  • Markets interpreted Powell’s comments mostly dovishly, especially on a possible 25bp hike in February.
  • But the economic outlook remains uncertain, and even after a significant and unexpected upgrade to core PCE forecasts, FOMC members still see risks to inflation to the upside.
  • Expect FOMC participants to underscore the decision’s hawkishly-intended message in the coming weeks.

FOR FULL PDF ANALYSIS PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING LINK:

FedReviewDec2022.pdf




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