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MNI Fed Review - Jan 2022: Prepare For A Different Cycle

Our January 2022 FOMC meeting review has just been published on our website - and emailed to subscribers. Includes MNI View, Statement Comparison, 20 Analyst Note summaries, and full press conference transcript.
  • Chair Powell delivered arguably his most hawkish press conference yet at the January FOMC.
  • Market rate hike pricing jumped as Powell emphasized that this economy was “different”, and didn’t push back against suggestions the Fed could tighten more aggressively than had previously been expected.
  • The 2022 market/analyst base case is shifting to 4-to-5 hikes, with QT beginning in mid-year, vs pre-meeting when it was 3-to-4, with QT beginning in Q3.

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