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MNI Global Morning Briefing

MNI (London)
     LONDON (MNI) - The three key releases to end the week are October retail
sales in Germany at 0700GMT, flash November Euro Area inflation and unemployment
readings at 1000GMT and the MNI Chicago Report at 1445GMT.
     Retail sales were weak in October for Germany declining by 2.6% y/y, after
a 1.5% rise in September.
     ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch speaks at the TIPS launch event in
Rome.
     Euro Area inflation is anticipated to fall below the 2.2% y/y reading in
October to 2.1%. The downward pressure expected is likely due to the fall in oil
prices during the month of November as well as Germany and Spain seeing their
flash HICP y/y significantly lower than in October. The core y/y rate however is
expected to remain unchanged from October's reading of 1.1%.
     Euro Area unemployment is expected to drop 0.1pp to 8.0% m/m in November.
The 8.1% reading in October was a near 10 year low.
     At 1245GMT, ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure attending a panel on
international macroeconomic and finance hosted by the ECB, the Federal Reserve
Board and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in Frankfurt.
     The MNI Chicago PMI is expected to rise very slightly to a reading of 58.5
in November after a small downtick to 58.4 in October. Other regional data
already released have been mixed, with the Empire State index up and the
Philadelphia Fed index down.
     Concluding the speeches at 1400GMT, New York Federal Reserve Bank President
John Williams speaks in New York.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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