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MNI Global Morning Briefing: ADP Jobs Report Eyed

Wednesday sees only a limited data calendar in both Europe and the North Americas, although analysts will get a look at the construction sector across Europe and the UK.

German manufacturing orders seen slowing (0700 BST)

German manufacturing orders are expected to have slowed in August, with analysts looking for a m/m decline of 1.9% against at 3.4% increase in July. Year-on-year, August orders are seen up 16.5% wda, decelerating from a 24.4% rise in the previous month.

The manufacturing PMI fell to a six-month low in August as supply constraints hit production, although still sitting at elevated levels above 60, with prices continuing to rise to historical highs.

EU retail sales recover in August (1000 BST)

Eurozone retail sales are expected to have picked up in August, recovering from the surprise weakness in July. On month, sales are expected to have risen 1% recovering from the 2.3% dip seen in the previous month. Year-on-year sales are expected to rise just 0.4%, slowing from the 3.1% y/y gain in July.

US private sector jobs gains strengthening in September (1315 BST)

The latest ADP report is expected to underline the continued recovery in the U.S. labour market, with analysts looking for an add of 430,000 jobs, up from the 374,000 increase seen in August. An increase along those lines, assuming no sharp decrease in public-sector employment, will likely underline expectations of Federal Reserve tapering getting underway by year end.

There is a limited schedule of policymakers expected Wednesday. Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic is due to speak. In the UK, Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to lay out the governing party's outlook for the economy post-Covid and post-Brexit.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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