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MNI Global Morning Briefing: BOC Meets

Wednesday is a light data day in Europe, with mainly second tier releases on offer, including French trade data and Italian retail sales.

The main releases are in North America, with the release of the U.S. JOLTS data and, headlining, the Bank of Canada's policy decision.

Bank of Canada decision (1500BST)

Universal expectations are for the BOC's policy rate to remain at a record low 0.25% and QE to remain at CAD2 billion weekly, our Ottawa bureau notes. The BOC's one-page decision may come with a reference to the unexpected Q2 GDP contraction, though this likely isn't enough to derail an eventual reduction of QE to a reinvestment phase.

The Bank has said it expects conditions to be in place for a rate hike in 2H 2022; the GDP setback isn't dramatic enough to derail that outlook given inflation is above 1-3% target range.

U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey - JOLTS (1500GMT)

U.S. job openings are set to dip slightly in July after hitting a record high in June, with Bloomberg forecasting a small decline to 10 million from 10.1 million.

Vacant positions remain plentiful as employers in nearly every industry struggle to find available workers, particularly for in-person opportunities.

The main policymaker appearances Wednesday are likely to be BOE Governor Andrew Bailey and three of his MPC colleagues at the TSC.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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