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MNI Global Morning Briefing: EZ PPI Seen At New Record High

MNI (London)

The data calendar remains quiet Tuesday with the only European data release of note being EZ producer price inflation at 1000BST. In the US, factory orders at 1500BST will be closely watched.

EZ producer prices seen at new record high

The annual producer price index rose to a record high of 9.6% in May and markets expect the index to increase further in June to 10.3%. May's increase was driven by a sharp increase of energy prices by 25.1%, followed by intermediate goods prices which rose 9.2%. Material shortages, lack of skilled labour and logistical problems are pushing up factory gate prices in recent months and survey evidence such as the PMIs and the IFO business climate survey suggest this problem continues into the summer months.

Source: Eurostat

US factory orders expected to slow

New orders for manufactured goods increased by 1.7% in May, after easing by 0.1% in the previous month. Shipments, unfilled orders and inventories saw monthly gains in May. In June, markets expect factory orders to rise further, although at a slower pace of 1.0%. Survey evidence suggests an expansion of new business at slower rate as well. The IHS manufacturing PMI saw new orders at the second fastest rate on record in July, slightly slower than May's peak. The ISM manufacturing PMI recorded a small decline of new orders in July, however, the indicator remains well above the 50-mark.

The only speech scheduled on Tuesday is Fed's Michelle Bowman participating in a virtual event.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com

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