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MNI GLOBAL MORRNING BRIEFING:

Wednesday throws up a full schedule of data, with German and Spanish inflation the highlights of the European session.

Early European trade will see Swedish retail sales released at 0700BST, followed by Spanish flash inflation for March and the Swiss KOF indicator at0800GMT.

Euro area inflation outlook

Spain's harmonized CPI is expected to rise 2.7% mm and 8% y/y (7.6% Feb) as the surge in Euro Area inflation continues. The increase in March is likely to be the first reflection of the early impacts of the war in Ukraine.

German state inflation will also be released Wednesday, mainly Bavaria at 0900BST and Saxony at 1000BST. German federal inflation will follow at 1300BST, with analysts looking for an increase in HICP to 6.5% from 5.5% in February.

Consumer sentiment lower

The Swiss KOF indicator for March is likely to be the latest consumer confidence data to show a sharp downturn as the Ukraine warn and higher prices weigh on sentiment. Expectations are for a fall to 101.0 from 105.0 in February.

Eurozone and wider EU confidence indicators are due at 1000BST and will confirm the slump in sentiment seen in the flash release to -18.7 from -8.8 in Feb.

US GDP

The main US release will be the final read of U.S. GDP, which will likely confirm the annualized 7.2% growth in Q4.

Main policymaker appearances Wednesday include ECB President Christine Lagarde, BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and Kansas City Fed head Esther George.


DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
30/03/20220600/1400**CN MNI China Liquidity Suvey
30/03/20220600/0800**SE Retail Sales
30/03/20220700/0900***ES HICP (p)
30/03/20220700/0900*CH KOF Economic Barometer
30/03/20220800/1000*IT Industrial Orders
30/03/20220800/1000***DE Bavaria CPI
30/03/20220800/1000EU ECB Lagarde Speech at Central Bank of Cyprus
30/03/20220810/0910UKBOE Broadbent Speaks at NIESR
30/03/20220900/1100**EU Economic Sentiment Indicator
30/03/20220900/1100*EU Consumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
30/03/20220900/1100*EU Business Climate Indicator
30/03/20220900/1100***DE Saxony CPI
30/03/20221100/0700**US MBA Weekly Applications Index
30/03/20221200/1400***DE HICP (p)
30/03/20221215/0815***US ADP Employment Report
30/03/20221230/0830***US GDP (3rd)
30/03/20221315/0915US Richmond Fed's Tom Barkin
30/03/20221415/1615EU ECB Panetta Hearing on Digital Euro at ECON
30/03/20221430/1030**US DOE weekly crude oil stocks
30/03/20221530/1130*US US Treasury Auction Result for Cash Management Bill
30/03/20221700/1300US Kansas City Fed's Esther George
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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