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Free AccessMNI: China CFETS Yuan Index Up 0.01% In Week of Nov 22
MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY76.7 Bln via OMO Monday
MNI Japan Survey: Aug CPI, Spending, Jobs, Output, Retail
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due in this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date JST/GMT Data Month Median Previous
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri, Sep 29 0830/2330 National Core CPI Aug 0.7 % y/y 0.5
Fri, Sep 29 0830/2330 Tokyo Core CPI Sep 0.5 % y/y 0.4
Fri, Sep 29 0830/2330 Household Spending Aug 1.1 % y/y -0.2
Fri, Sep 29 0830/2330 Unemployment Rate Aug 2.8 % 2.8
Fri, Sep 29 0850/2350 Industrial Output Aug 1.9 % m/m -0.8
Fri, Sep 29 0850/2350 Retail Sales Aug 2.6 % y/y 1.8
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
National % y/y Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast 0.7 0.5
High Forecast 0.8 0.7
Low Forecast 0.6 0.3
Previous Month 0.5 0.4
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.1
No. of Responses 14 13
National % y/y Tokyo % y/y
Hamagin Research Institute 0.8 0.6
Barclays Securities 0.8 0.5
NLI Research Institute 0.7 0.6
BNP Paribas 0.7 0.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 0.7 0.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 0.7 0.5
Mizuho Research Institute 0.7 0.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 0.7 0.5
Nomura Securities 0.7 0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 0.7 0.3
Japan Research Institute 0.6 0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute 0.6 0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.6 0.5
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.6 na
Real Spending (Households With Two Or More People)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Change y/y %
Median Forecast 1.1
High Forecast 2.3
Low Forecast -0.6
Previous Month -0.2
Standard Deviation 0.8
No. of Responses 14
Change y/y %
Norinchukin Research Institute 2.3
Mizuho Research Institute 1.6
Nomura Securities 1.6
NLI Research Institute 1.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 1.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 1.2
SMBC Nikko Securities 1.1
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 1.0
BNP Paribas 0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.8
Barclays Securities 0.4
Hamagin Research Institute -0.3
Japan Research Institute -0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting -0.6
Unemployment Rate
--------------------------------------------
%
Median Forecast 2.8
High Forecast 2.9
Low Forecast 2.7
Previous Month 2.8
Standard Deviation 0.1
No. of Responses 14
%
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 2.9
NLI Research Institute 2.9
Daiwa Institute of Research 2.8
Barclays Securities 2.8
BNP Paribas 2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 2.8
Japan Research Institute 2.8
Mizuho Research Institute 2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 2.8
Nomura Securities 2.8
Norinchukin Research Institute 2.8
SMBC Nikko Securities 2.8
Hamagin Research Institute 2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 2.7
Preliminary Industrial Production
-----------------------------------------------------
Change m/m %
Median Forecast 1.9
High Forecast 3.0
Low Forecast 1.5
Previous Month -0.8
Standard Deviation 0.5
No. of Responses 14
Change m/m %
NLI Research Institute 3.0
Hamagin Research Institute 2.7
Nomura Securities 2.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 2.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 2.1
Japan Research Institute 2.0
Mizuho Research Institute 1.9
Norinchukin Research Institute 1.8
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 1.8
Barclays Securities 1.7
BNP Paribas 1.7
Daiwa Institute of Research 1.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 1.6
SMBC Nikko Securities 1.5
Preliminary Retail Sales
-----------------------------------------------------
Change y/y %
Median Forecast 2.6
High Forecast 4.4
Low Forecast 1.5
Previous Month 1.8
Standard Deviation 0.9
No. of Responses 10
Change y/y %
Nomura Securities 4.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 3.2
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 3.2
NLI Research Institute 3.0
BNP Paribas 2.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 2.5
Hamagin Research Institute 2.0
Japan Research Institute 1.9
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 1.6
Mizuho Research Institute 1.5
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.