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MNI Japan Survey: Oct Retail, Output, CPI, Spending, Jobs

     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due in the coming week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                 Data   Month   Median          Previous
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Nov 29  0850/2350         Retail Sales     Oct     -0.4  % y/y        2.3
Thu, Nov 30  0850/2350    Industrial Output     Oct      1.9  % m/m       -1.0
Fri, Dec 1   0830/2330    National Core CPI     Oct      0.8  % y/y        0.7
Fri, Dec 1   0830/2330       Tokyo Core CPI     Nov      0.6  % y/y        0.6
Fri, Dec 1   0830/2330   Household Spending     Oct     -0.4  % y/y       -0.3
Fri, Dec 1   0830/2330    Unemployment Rate     Oct      2.8      %        2.8
Preliminary Retail Sales
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                  -0.4
High Forecast                                     1.0
Low Forecast                                     -1.3
Previous Month                                    2.3
Standard Deviation                                0.7
No. of Responses                                    9
                                         Change y/y %
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  1.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.7
Japan Research Institute                          0.1
Mizuho Research Institute                        -0.3
BNP Paribas                                      -0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting           -0.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 -0.7
NLI Research Institute                           -0.8
Nomura Securities                                -1.3
Preliminary  Industrial Production
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                   1.9
High Forecast                                     3.4
Low Forecast                                      1.2
Previous Month                                   -1.0
Standard Deviation                                0.5
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  3.4
Norinchukin Research Institute                    2.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  2.3
Nomura Securities                                 2.2
Daiwa Institute of Research                       2.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            2.0
BNP Paribas                                       1.9
Barclays Securities                               1.8
Mizuho Research Institute                         1.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    1.7
NLI Research Institute                            1.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                             1.5
Japan Research Institute                          1.2
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y  Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.8          0.6
High Forecast                                            0.9          0.7
Low Forecast                                             0.6          0.5
Previous Month                                           0.7          0.6
Standard Deviation                                       0.1          0.1
No. of Responses                                          13           12
                                              National % y/y  Tokyo % y/y
Barclays Securities                                      0.9          0.6
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.8          0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.8          0.7
BNP Paribas                                              0.8          0.6
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.8          0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.8          0.6
NLI Research Institute                                   0.8          0.6
Nomura Securities                                        0.8          0.6
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.8          0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.8           na
Japan Research Institute                                 0.7          0.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.7          0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.6          0.5
Real Spending (Households With Two Or More People)
----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                    Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                             -0.4
High Forecast                                                1.6
Low Forecast                                                -3.2
Previous Month                                              -0.3
Standard Deviation                                           1.4
No. of Responses                                              13
                                                    Change y/y %
Japan Research Institute                                     1.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                                  1.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                             0.9
Norinchukin Research Institute                               0.9
BNP Paribas                                                  0.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                      -0.3
Mizuho Research Institute                                   -0.4
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                              -0.4
NLI Research Institute                                      -0.6
Barclays Securities                                         -0.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                                       -0.8
Nomura Securities                                           -2.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                            -3.2
Unemployment Rate
--------------------------------------------
                                           %
Median Forecast                          2.8
High Forecast                            2.8
Low Forecast                             2.8
Previous Month                           2.8
Standard Deviation                       0.0
No. of Responses                          13
                                           %
Barclays Securities                      2.8
BNP Paribas                              2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research              2.8
Japan Research Institute                 2.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.8
Mizuho Research Institute                2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.8
NLI Research Institute                   2.8
Nomura Securities                        2.8
Norinchukin Research Institute           2.8
SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.8
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management         2.8
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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