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February 02, 2018 00:45 GMT
MNI Japan Survey: Preliminary GDP for October-December
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's gross
domestic product for the October-December quarter of 2017 provided by economists
surveyed by MNI.
Wednesday, Feb. 14, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Tuesday, Feb. 13): The Cabinet
Office releases preliminary Q4 GDP. The median forecasts are in
quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private
inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data Median Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q 0.2 0.6
GDP Annualized 0.9 2.5
Consumption 0.4 -0.5
Capex 1.1 1.1
Public Investment -1.0 -2.4
Private Inventories -0.1 0.4
Net Exports -0.1 0.5
GDP
---------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast 0.2 0.9
High Forecast 0.3 1.0
Low Forecast -0.0 -0.2
Previous 0.6 2.5
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.4
No. of Responses 10 10
MUFJ Morgan Stanley 0.3 1.0
DIR 0.3 1.0
Japan Research Institute 0.3 1.0
Mizuho Research 0.2 1.0
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.2 0.9
NLI 0.2 0.8
Dai-ichi Life Research 0.2 0.8
Mitsubishi Research 0.1 0.4
MUFJ R & C 0.0 0.0
SMBC Nikko -0.0 -0.2
Consumption Capex Public Works
----------------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median Forecast 0.4 1.1 -1.0
High Forecast 0.7 1.9 0.3
Low Forecast -0.1 0.3 -3.9
Previous -0.5 1.1 -2.4
Standard Deviation 0.2 0.5 1.2
No. of Responses 10 10 10
MUFJ Morgan Stanley 0.3 1.9 -1.6
DIR 0.4 0.8 -2.5
Japan Research Institute 0.7 1.1 0.3
Mizuho Research 0.5 0.3 -1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.4 1.2 -3.9
NLI 0.4 1.4 -0.6
Dai-ichi Life Research 0.4 1.2 -0.5
Mitsubishi Research 0.1 1.0 -1.3
MUFJ R & C -0.1 0.6 -0.7
SMBC Nikko 0.2 0.3 -0.4
Private Inventories Net Export
--------------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median Forecast -0.1 -0.1
High Forecast 0.1 0.2
Low Forecast -0.1 -0.2
Previous 0.4 0.5
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.1
No. of Responses 10 10
MUFJ Morgan Stanley -0.1 -0.1
DIR 0.0 0.0
Japan Research Institute -0.1 -0.2
Mizuho Research 0.0 0.0
Sumitomo Mitsui AM -0.1 0.2
NLI -0.1 -0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research -0.1 -0.1
Mitsubishi Research 0.1 -0.1
MUFJ R & C -0.1 0.0
SMBC Nikko 0.0 -0.1
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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