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MNI NBP Preview - September 2021: NBP Seen On Hold

MNI NBP Preview - May 2021: Policy Rate To Remain Unchanged

Executive Summary:

  • The National Bank of Poland is expected to keep its policy rate on hold at 0.1%
  • NBP Governor confirmed this week that hiking too soon is 'risky' given the elevated uncertainty
  • However, traders have been speculating that the NBP will start its gradual tightening cycle in November
  • FRA market pricing in a 25bps hike at the November meeting

Link to full preview here:

MNI Poland CB Preview Sep 8.pdf

The National Bank of Poland is expected to keep its policy rate on hold at 0.1% despite the positive surprise in inflation in August. Unlike their CEE peers, which have entered into a tightening cycle to curb the inflationary pressures, the majority of the NBP board aim to keep financial conditions as loose as possible as the uncertainty over the economic recovery remains elevated.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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