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MNI Peru Central Bank Review - April 2024: Policy Easing Cycle Resumed

The BCRP unexpectedly cut its reference rate by 25bps 6.00%, resuming its easing cycle after a pause at the prior meeting in March.

Executive Summary:

  • Peru’s central bank unexpectedly cut its reference rate by 25bps 6.00%, resuming its easing cycle after a pause at the prior meeting in March.
  • The consensus among surveyed analysts had expected the BCRP to pause once more, although most had described the decision as a close call.
  • The board appear comfortable with the dynamics of the inflation trajectory, noting that March’s above-estimate surprise is considered transitory. The statement provided the usual caveat that “future rate adjustments will be conditional on new information about inflation and its determinants.”
  • Analysts believe that the board’s decision could point to an every-other-meeting easing strategy ahead. While a modest surprise, reactions to the latest approval of the pension withdrawal bill may have more of an impact on Peruvian assets in the short-term.

Click to view the full review:

MNI Peru Central Bank Review - April 2024.pdf

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Executive Summary:

  • Peru’s central bank unexpectedly cut its reference rate by 25bps 6.00%, resuming its easing cycle after a pause at the prior meeting in March.
  • The consensus among surveyed analysts had expected the BCRP to pause once more, although most had described the decision as a close call.
  • The board appear comfortable with the dynamics of the inflation trajectory, noting that March’s above-estimate surprise is considered transitory. The statement provided the usual caveat that “future rate adjustments will be conditional on new information about inflation and its determinants.”
  • Analysts believe that the board’s decision could point to an every-other-meeting easing strategy ahead. While a modest surprise, reactions to the latest approval of the pension withdrawal bill may have more of an impact on Peruvian assets in the short-term.

Click to view the full review:

MNI Peru Central Bank Review - April 2024.pdf