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MNI POLICY: BOJ Kuroda - Risk Of Weak Econ Will Affect Prices

MNI (London)
     OSAKA, Japan (MNI) - Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda warned Tuesday
of the risk that the economic slowdown stemming from overseas economies will
spread to domestic prices.
     Kuroda, speaking to business leaders in Osaka City said, "It is important
to consider appropriate monetary policy measures while thoroughly weighing their
benefits and costs." "The BOJ recognizes that there remains an important
challenge to consider what is required to further enhance the sustainability of
policy measures."
     Kuroda stopped short of committing to further easing at the next
policy-setting meeting, scheduled on Oct 30-31.
     The BOJ left monetary policy unchanged Thursday, but vowed to re-examine
economic and price developments at the next meeting.
     "Slowdowns in overseas economies have continued to be observed and their
downside risks seem to be increasing, the BOJ judges that it is becoming
necessary to pay closer attention to the possibility that the momentum toward
achieving the price stability target will be lost," a policy statement said,
following the Board's 7-to-2 vote.
     "The BOJ will reexamine economic and price developments at the next MPM,
when it updates the outlook for economic activity and prices," it added.
     Kuroda said last week, "I'm more positive on additional easy policy than at
the previous meeting in July." But he indicated it doesn't mean that the BOJ was
committed to move at the October policy meeting.
     Other key points from Kuroda's speech:
     --"Downside risks concerning overseas economies seem to be increasing. It
is necessary to bear in mind the possibility that the pick-up will lag behind by
longer than expected. The BOJ judges that it is becoming necessary to closely
examine whether overseas economies will pick up while the aforementioned
firmness in domestic demand is being maintained."
     --"If the slowdown in overseas economies lasts longer than expected, it is
necessary to pay attention to the possibility that firms' investment stance will
become cautious, mainly in manufacturing sector."
     --"The BOJ has the same policy stance, in that preventing and insuring
against risks are taken into consideration when conducting monetary policy. In
doing so, what is essential for the BOJ is assessment of the momentum toward
achieving the price stability target."
     --"Given the slowdown in overseas economies have continued to be observed
and their downside risks seem to be increasing, it is becoming necessary to pay
closer attention to the possibility that the momentum toward achieving the price
stability target. Developments in the output gap warrant particular attention."
     --If downside risks to global economies materialized, Japan's economic
growth rate will fall sharply. "If this happens, the momentum toward achieving
the price stability target could be affected through shrinkage of the output
gap."
     --As for the outlook for Japan's economy, Kuroda said, "the keys to this
outlook are following; the timing of a pick up in overseas economies and whether
the firmness in domestic demand will be sustained until that happens."
     -- "Overseas economies have been growing moderately on the whole, but the
pace has continued to decelerate since the start of the year."
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMJBJ$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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