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MNI POLICY: BOJ Kuroda: Shows Stance To Act Without Hesitation

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The Bank of Japan has clearly shown it is willing take
additional easing without hesitation if greater downside risks to global economy
continues, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said Thursday.
     Kuroda told reporters, "I'm more positive on additional easy policy than at
the previous meeting in July." But he indicated it doesn't mean that the BOJ was
committed to move at the October policy meeting.
     He said that the BOJ will take additional easy policy "without hesitation"
if there is a greater risk that the momentum toward achieving the price
stability target will be lost.
     "I don't think the economy will fall into recession and the momentum to the
price stability target will be lost. But we need to carefully examine the impact
of greater downside risk to global economy on Japan's economy," Kuroda said.
     Kuroda laid out reasons for the BOJ keeping easy policy, saying that a
virtuous cycle continues working in both corporate and household sectors.
     Earlier in the day, the BOJ left monetary policy unchanged but vowed to
re-examine economic and price developments at the next policy meeting in
October.
     Other key points from Kuroda's comments:
     --When asked about policy options, Kuroda repeated the four tools that he
has previously noted, such as lowering the short-term and long-term policy
interest rates, expanding the asset purchases and accelerating the pace of
injecting. Lowering the short-term policy interest rate from -0.1% is one
option.
     --The BOJ must carefully examine both favorable effects and side-effects on
financial institutions and the financial system. The BOJ will decide on
appropriate policy after comprehensively examining benefits and costs of more
easing. But he didn't' elaborate on possible measures to mitigate the
side-effects of more easing on banks and financial system.
     --Compared with the U.S. Federal Reserve, there is little room for the BOJ
to conduct easing. But the BOJ has more room to move against the European
Central Bank, which recently lowered its policy rate to -0.5% from -0.4%.
     --Kuroda said that he doesn't see an imminent need to change the current
policy framework based on the yield curve control policy, including the large
scale of asset purchases.
     --"It's desirable for the yield curve to steepen further" as the drop in
super long-term bond yields will have an adverse impact on pension funds and
life insurance firms that are seeking for return through investment in
longer-end asset.
     --The main scenario based on the prediction made by the International
Monetary Fund remains in place that the global economy will pick up toward 2020
but downside risks are increasing.
     --The consumption tax hike to 10% from 8% on Oct. 1 will not worsen Japan's
economy but the BOJ needs to carefully watch its impact on consumer spending.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMJBJ$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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