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MNI POLICY: Call For GBP100Bln Bad Debt Recovery Corp In UK

MNI (London)
-Scheme Sprang From Conversations With BOE Head Bailey
-Aims To Ease Burden Of SMEs Struggling To Repay Government Loans 
By David Robinson
     LONDON (MNI) - A City group with close links to both the Bank of England
and Treasury has called for the creation of a new body that will aim to prevent
the shock of up to GBP100 billion defaults by small-to-medium sized firms on
government Covid 19-related loan schemes.
     TheCityUK Recapitalisation Group, the working body behind the scheme, has
developed a series of detailed options to allow smaller firms to either turn
government loans into tax liabilities or, through financial engineering, into
subordinated loans or preference shares.
     "All this started with a conference call with the Governor of the Bank of
England Andrew Bailey, probably around the end of March, and he was referring to
the already quite substantial volumes of lending that had taken place under the
government (Covid) schemes," Adrian Montagu, a senior figure at TheCityUK and
chair of insurer Aviva, said Thursday.
     Montagu said that while the government has pumped in vast amounts of
lending "these loans have to be repaid. We think that there will be probably up
to GBP100 billion of unsustainable debt (around 5% of GDP) when we get to March
next year."
     --STRONG CAST
     Among those on the steering committee is John Kingman, chairman of Legal
and General and previously a high ranking Treasury official who handled the
nationalisation and recapitalisation of various UK banks during the global
financial crisis.
     The group's detailed proposals include a Business Repayment Plan which will
convert the Treasury's Bounce Back Loans into tax obligations.
     Another proposal is its Business Recovery Capital scheme which will convert
government guaranteed loans into either subordinated debt or preferred share
capital agreements and a third proposal is to use a mix of financial
instruments, including preference shares, to provide growth capital.
     The legal challenges in creating a new body that will seek to attract
private sector capital are complex, in part because of the finding ways of
dealing with the government guarantees behind the business loans if they are
taken on by a new body.
     --GERMAN LEAD
     One inspiration behind the proposed new body is Germany's KfW, the state
owned development bank with the UK version aiming to pull in an increasing share
of private sector funding over time.
     Omar Ali, UK Financial Services Managing Partner at EY, stressed the need
for speed, with a survey finding one-in-three firms that have taken government
loans saying that they have a month or less of cash reserves.
     "Simply delaying payment of the loans ... is not going to be a solution in
and of itself," he said.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2223; email: david.robinson@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,M$E$$$,M$$BE$,MFB$$$,MGB$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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