Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
The senior partner in Germany's federal governing coalition, the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), is set to elect a new leader on Saturday 16 January in what is being billed as the contest to decide the likely successor to Chancellor Angela Merkel. The 15-year incumbent is due to stand down at the end of the current parliamentary term in the autumn (the date of the election is not yet set) and there are a number of candidates vying to be the centre-right's 'chancellor candidate' (Kanzlerkandidat). In this article we will provide a brief background to the contest and explain how the election will take place, an outline of the three candidates seeking the CDU leadership, and a look to the coming weeks and months where the outlook for Germany's centre-right ahead of the election could become more complicated.
Main Takeaways:
- Conservative candidate Friedrich Merz is the narrow favourite to win the CDU leadership, but it is set to prove a close contest.
- Whoever wins the CDU leadership contest is not necessarily guaranteed to be the centre-right's chancellor candidate come the federal election.
- State elections in March could have a notable impact on which candidate the CDU/CSU selects to be the centre-right's chancellor candidate.
Source: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Civey, Forsa, Infratest dimap, MNI
For full article PDF please click link below:
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-CDU Contest Enters Final Stages.pdf
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.