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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-New Zealand Election Preview

Voters in New Zealand head to the polls on 14 October in the first general election to take place since the resignation of former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern in January. In stark contrast to the previous election in 2020, in which Ardern’s Labour party secured a majority in the House of Representatives in a landslide win, the 2023 contest is much closer and is set to require the formation of a multi-party coalition to govern. In this preview we provide a briefing of how the election works, the main parties involved, a chartpack of opinion polling, and probabilities and analysis of post-election scenarios.

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