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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – The Next Steps In Ukraine

Executive Summary:

  • Talks in Geneva on Friday between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov ended, predictably, with little progress.
  • Questions now remain on how the diplomatic effort will proceed, what the desired outcomes are for both parties, and the pathways available for de-escalation.
  • The risk of war is higher than it has ever been in this particular episode but there are offramps available on NATO ascention and medium range weapons systems to de-escalate the crisis.
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