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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 02-11-22

Executive Summary:

  • The US midterm elections are six days away and, amid inconsistent messaging and ineffective campaign strategies, Democrats fear a red wave is looming.
  • A key election analyst has moved ten House races, in blue states carried by President Biden by 15+ points in 2020, towards the GOP.
  • A new poll has shown Republican candidate Don Bolduc statistically tied with incumbent New Hampshire Senator Maggie Hassan (D-NH).
  • Volatility continues to increase in the Middle East: The White House has expressed concern about a potential Iranian attack on Saudi Arabia, Iran deepens involvement in Ukraine, and Benjamin Netanyahu emphatically returns to power at the head of a coalition which includes ultranationalists opposed to Israel’s regional integration.
  • FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr is in Taiwan after making headlines this week leading a call for the US Congress to ban TikTok, a Chinese owned social media platform.
  • Poll of the Day: Early voting means that some midterm races may be subject to a "red mirage," as occurred in the 2020 election.


Please find the full article attached below:

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 02-11-22 .pdf

USPolitical Market NewsPolitical Risk
USPolitical Market NewsPolitical Risk

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